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12 Feb 2025

ELON IS IN THE OVAL OFFICE AND WARNS: "IT’S NOT OPTIONAL TO CUT FEDERAL SPENDING—IT’S ESSENTIAL".

Elon said he wants to add "common sense controls" to the government, adding they haven’t been present. He says taxpayer dollars must be spent wisely. It’s just common sense, he says, not "draconian." Source: CBS, Mario Nawfal on X

12 Feb 2025

I asked ChatGPT the potential savings if the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.) was implemented across the European Union.

Here's the answer: MORE THAN A TRILLION EURO PER YEAR (Fyi, the EU budget deficit is around 500 billion euros).

12 Feb 2025

Bitcoin seasonality: coiners ready for a bull run ???

Source: @AlmanacTrader

12 Feb 2025

As highlighted in a post by Spencer Hakimian on X: The United States has a $66B 10 Year Bond from February 2015 coming due tomorrow.

It had a 2.00% fixed coupon. It is going to be replaced with another $66B 10 Year Bond, but this time, with a 4.55% fixed coupon. This one single rollover will add an extra $1.67B per year to the national debt for the next 10 years. Bond auctions like these are happening every single day. After a decade of ZIRP, all of that debt now costs taxpayer money. No surprise that gold and bitcoin have been going to the roof Soruce: Bloomberg, Spencer Hakimian on X:

12 Feb 2025

⚠️Retail investors have never been more EUPHORIC on US stocks:

Mom-and-pop investors bought a record $12 BILLION equities in the 1st week of February 👇 Roughly 70% went to Magnificent 7 ‼️ 🚨 Meanwhile, institutional investors have been selling over the last few weeks! Source: Global Markets Investors, JP Morgan

12 Feb 2025

7 things you should never tell people

Source: Seek Wiser

12 Feb 2025

European natural gas prices are between three and four times higher than in the US, providing a critical handicap to the continent's companies.

Brussels is weighing new powers to temporarily cap EU gas prices, which have recently hit record levels compared with the US. European natural gas prices traded at the highest in more than two years this week, in part because of low temperatures and a lack of wind that has hampered renewable energy production. They are between three and four times higher than in the US, providing a critical handicap to European companies. The European Commission is considering a cap as part of discussions about a “clean industrial deal” policy document to be presented next month, said three people with knowledge of the talks. The strategy paper should outline ways to shore up the EU’s heavy industries as businesses grapple with multiple challenges including US President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade measures and the EU’s own ambitious green transition. Talks around mechanisms to cap prices, though still at an early stage, have drawn a backlash from industry groups which warn against damaging “trust” in the European market. Link to artivcle >>> https://lnkd.in/eJbxpaKf Source: FT

12 Feb 2025

Ever since COVID, January inflation has come in "hot."

Today's core CPI is no different. A proxy for underlying inflation is "core" services (in blue on the chart below courtesy of Robin Brooks) and that looks well-behaved. So it could be that this "hot" reading is largely about noise and residual seasonality, as in 2023 and 2024... Source: Robin Brooks

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