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Time in the market vs. timing the market...
Time in the market can work magic! This is an example showing the median growth of 100k given length of time in the market. Source: Peter Mallouk, Charlie Bilello
In case you missed it: US September CPI inflation falls to 2.4%, ABOVE expectations of 2.3%.
Core CPI inflation RISES to 3.3%, above expectations of 3.2%. For the first time since March 2023, Core CPI inflation is officially back on the rise. Same story on CPI as previous month: Total is “ok” at +2.4% because energy is collapsing, but core is still +3.3% and Services remain HOT & STICKY at +4.7%. Transport +8.5% Indeed, while September CPI inflation is at 2.4%, inflation is much higher in many basic necessities: 1. Car Insurance Inflation: 16.3% 2. Transportation Inflation: 8.5% 3. Homeowner Inflation: 4.9% 4. Car Repair Inflation: 4.9% 5. Rent Inflation: 4.8% 6. Hospital Services Inflation: 4.5% 7. Food Away From Home Inflation: 3.9% 8. Electricity Inflation: 3.7% Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ, The Kobeissi Letter
JUST IN : UK'S GOVERNMENT IS CONSIDERING RAISING CAPITAL GAINS TAX TO AS HIGH AS 39% PER THE GUARDIAN
Source: @gurgavin
Trump is leading Kamala by 9.4% on Polymarket, the widest gap since Biden dropped out.
Trump is even leading in Wisconsin and Michigan. 26 days remain. Source: Joe Consorti, Polymarket
JUST IN 🚨 : China expected to announce a new stimulus package of $283 Billion
Investors are on tenterhooks as Beijing prepares to deliver fresh policies over the weekend that could jumpstart its economy. China’s Finance Minister Lan Fo’an is set to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on Saturday local time on “intensifying” fiscal stimulus policies, the country’s State Council Information Office said. With Beijing at risk of missing its full year economic growth target of 5%, some analysts are confident that authorities are ready to deliver major fiscal stimulus at the highly anticipated event, while others remain skeptical. Most economists expect some sort of additional stimulus, but there are many differing views on its size as well as the priorities of the package. Some have floated a figure between two and three trillion yuan (the equivalent of $282.8 billion to $424.2 billion), while others have suggested 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion). Source: Barchart, CNBC
In case you missed it... Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is okay with skipping rate cut in November 🚨
Source: Barchart
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