Why you need to invest, in one chart...
Source: Charlie Bilello
Coal stocks pressing to new multi-year highs
Not really the market action which was expected... In the face of limited energy supply, coal stocks are booming to a surge in coal demand. Source: Steven Strazza, All Start Charts
Climbing the wall of worry: US equities sentiment remains bearish
According to Goldman's average percentile of 16 sentiment & positioning indicators, sentiment today is more bearish than it was 1 month ago and 3 months ago. Peculiar. Climb the wall of worry.
Stocks and Treasuries are very correlated again
Source: Goldman Sachs, The Market Ear
AI is a hot topic in earnings calls
Source: FT
Netflix and YouTube combined are responsible for 31.5% of global internet traffic
Source: Statista
Highest default rate in the US High Yield market since september 2021!
There is some stress building in the U.S. high yield bond market, with the highest default rate since September 2021 occurring in January! While the default rate remains low (2.2% in January), U.S. high yield corporates are being downgraded at their fastest pace since 2020. A sign of future economic deterioration? Source: Bloomberg, Moody's.
The entire US Treasury yield curve back above 4% !
What a change in one month! The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen about 70 basis points in one month and the entire U.S. Treasury yield curve is now trading (each key rate) above 4%. Recent economic and inflation data has caused investors to revise their outlook on U.S. monetary policy. A terminal rate of 5.5% is now expected by September and no cut in 2023. Note that for the first time, fed fund futures prices are forecasting a higher rate for the March 24 futures contract than for the March 2023 contract. Source: Bloomberg
