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Global equity positioning by ctas is very, very long
Source: Markets & Mayhem, Goldman Sachs
Crude Oil cannot be stopped! It just had its 7th consecutive green week, its longest winning streak since February 2022
Source: Barchart
Another big week of earnings coming up!
• Monday: $MNDY. • Tuesday: $HD, $NU, $SE. • Wednesday: $CSCO, $JD, $STNE, $TCEHY. • Thursday: $BILL, $WMT. Source: Earnings Whisper, App Economy Insight
Mohnish Pabrai is seen by many as the best Indian investor ever
He paid $650,000 to lunch with Buffett and compounded at 25% (!) per year. Here's his investment checklist by Value Walk thru Compounding Quality / Chris Quinn
Out of 20 valuation metrics, the SP500 is currently overvalued on 19 of them relative to historical levels
Source: Barchart
Many analysts point their fingers towards the options market for signs of stock market trouble. Goldman says dealers in ‘short gamma’ for first time this year
Meanwhile, we have a new 0DTE* options volume record. *Zero days to expiration options, or 0DTE options for short, are options contracts that expire and become void the same day that they’re traded. When an option reaches this stage, there’s not much more time left to act on the right to buy or sell the underlying asset. The window is small, and the move that the trader is plotting needs to happen fast. 0DTE options trading has entered the mainstream in recent years and is a popular premium collecting strategy. Source: www.zerohedge,com, Bloomberg, investopedia
What are the latest moves when it comes to market expectations on Fed rates ?
A Fed HIKE of 25 bps by NOVEMBER moved from 30% to 33%. It is still below 50%. So not priced in. But a 3% increase (30% to 33%) is the biggest up move in a month. Furthermore, odds of rate CUTS are dropping. Markets now do not see any rate cuts until May 2024 in the base case. 3 months ago, markets expected 4 rate cuts in 2023. Markets seem to be bracing for a long Fed "pause." Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bianco Research
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