OPEC+ continues to miss oil production quotas, despite a recent cut.
Total production for OPEC+ countries (excluding the OPEC exempt) was 38.3, falling short of the 40.1 quota by 1.8 MM bbl/d. Misses vs. quota are getting smaller vs. what they were prior to the cut. Source: Bison interests
Chart from GS showing the equity market cap as a share of GDP for different nations
At the end of 2022, the US' equity market cap was 164% as a share of their GDP. Source: Goldman Sachs
Energy prices collapsed: European Gas Future now 84% below ATH, German 1y ahead Power Price 85% below ATH
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Global investors are dumping US equities
Source: BofA Fund Manager Survey
U.S. quantitative tightening is underway!
The amount of U.S. Treasury bonds held by the Federal Reserve (FED) has dropped by the largest amount ever (over $40 billion in two weeks). The reduction of the FED's balance sheet is in full swing. Source: Bloomberg, T.Costa
Earnings vs. price
Source: Goldman Sachs
China High Yield property index yield is collapsing
According to UBS, China High Yiled property index yield is collapsing from 70% toward 19% as the housing sector is recovering amid stimulus.
The Federal Reserve's hiking cycle: close to the end?
For the first time in this rate hike cycle, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is below the federal funds rate (lower bound). The market seems to be more and more convinced that this rate hike cycle of the US central bank will end soon.
