The longer you own an actively managed mutual fund, the more likely you are to underperform the market, especially on a risk-adjusted basis
Source: Peter Mallouk
AstraZeneca still in consolidation mode
AstraZeneca (AZN LN) is still consolidating since April (down 20%) but it's getting close to the tip of the triangle, so keep an eye, could see a move soon ! Source : Bloomberg.
Tavi Costa -> Brazilian equity markets have experienced near-record foreign investments in the last month
Despite all the skepticism about $EWZ is outperforming the S&P 500 by 23 percentage points in the last 2 years. The aggregate market cap of Brazilian stocks relative to its overall money supply remains near historical lows. Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
Yesterday's big correction took place just at the time the Fear & Greed Index hits 80, Extreme Greed, for the first time since July 27th
July 27th also happens to be the day when the S&P 500 topped and fell ~6% in 3 weeks. However, the decline was driven by a more hawkish than expected Fed outcome. Now, the rally is being driven by what appears to be a "Fed pivot." Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The Dow plunged by 470 points yesterday amid what seems to be a massive sell-program
Indeed, starting around 1430ET yesterday, the biggest sell-program since July smashed Wall Street. For context, this size of selling pressure is unusual... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Between 2:00 and 4:00 PM ET today, the S&P 500 erased ~$600 billion of market cap
To put this in perspective, the S&P 500 added ~$600 billion of market cap over the last week. The index was up for 10 straight days but erased 5 of those daily gains in 2 hours. The volatility index, $VIX, spiked ~10% in a matter of minutes. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
FedEx is not the market, but...
...has moved in perfect tandem with thee SPX for some time. Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv
Steno Research -> Big miss from FedEx leading to a >10% nosedive in the stock price
FedEx is the economy and air freight was particularly disappointing here Given the strong correlation between FedEx and the cyclical economy, this speaks against expecting a strong comeback in 2024 Source: Steno Research, Macrobond, Bloomberg
