Is this the reason why the Fed might be forced to cut rates in March?
We could have: 1. Reverse repo ends (see chart below) 2. BTFP expires 3. Fed cuts (allegedly) 4. QT ends (allegedly) I.e 3 and 4 could counter-balance 1 and 2
Natural Gas is now up 54% since the December 13th low and has traded green in 8 of the last 9 days.
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Taiwan Semiconductor is trading at a political discount, which is unlikely to narrow after the election of the China-critical candidate Lai Ching-te.
Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
What are you watching this week?
• Tuesday: $GS, $IBKR, $MS. • Wednesday: $DFS, $PLD, $SCHW. • Thursday: $TSM. • Friday: $ALLY. Source: Earnings Whispers
Fund flows do not sound "risk-on" at all...
Money Market Funds have seen inflows of $163 billion over the first 2 weeks this year, the highest amount EVER 👇 Source: BofA, Win Smart
Inflows into the 10 new bitcoin ETFs hit +$1.4 billion over 2 days.
Subtracting GBTC's outflows of -$579m we get a net inflow of +$818.9m into the 10 new vehicles. People rotating out of GBTC into the others & Grayscale selling BTC are behind the price dump despite the inflows. Source: Joe Consorti, Bloomberg
URANIUM GOING PARABOLIC as prices surges above 100 for the first time since 2007 and reaches its most overbought level in history...
Source: Barchart
China skeptic Lai Ching-te wins Taiwan’s presidential election
Ruling-party candidate Lai Ching-te emerged victorious in Taiwan’s presidential election, a man Beijing has labeled an “instigator of war”, in a vote that has enormous geopolitical implications across not just the Taiwan Strait, but between the US and China, too. Lai’s victory represents an unprecedented democratic milestone: the 1st time a political party in Taiwan has won a 3rd straight presidential election. Kuomintang or KMT, Beijing’s preferred political partner, gained roughly 33% of the vote. Beijing has repeatedly labeled Lai as a “stubborn worker for Taiwan independence” and a dangerous separatist. There are also fears this could in turn influence frosty China-U.S. relations and security in the broader Indo-Pacific region. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg, CNBC
