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21 Aug 2023

China is more dependent on real estate than any other country

Almost 30% of Chinese GDP dependent on #realestate combined with 50 million vacant apartments is a dangerous mix. Source: FT

18 Aug 2023

In 2009 China sparked global reflation. In 2023, could China to spark global deflation?

Source: www.zerohedge.com

18 Aug 2023

The fact that Chinese State property developers are also in big troubles complicates the issue for the China real estate

Mainly, as it reduces their ability to support the sector by taking over incomplete projects by private sector. Source: Bloomberg

18 Aug 2023

China’s heavily indebted property developer Evergrande group on Thursday filed for Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection in a U.S. court

In a filing to the Manhattan bankruptcy court, the firm sought recognition of restructuring talks under way in Hong Kong, the Cayman Islands and the British Virgin Islands. The world’s most indebted property developer defaulted in 2021 and announced an offshore debt restructuring program in March. Trading of Evergrande shares have been suspended since March 2022. The Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection allows a U.S. bankruptcy court to intervene in cross-border insolvency case involving foreign companies that are undergoing restructuring from creditors. It aims to protect the debtors’ assets and facilitate the rescue of businesses that are in financial trouble. Tianji Holdings, an affiliate of Evergrande, and its subsidiary Scenery Journey, also filed for Chapter 15 protection in a Manhattan bankruptcy court, according to the filing. Source: CNBC, FluentInFinance

16 Aug 2023

China asks some Funds to avoid net equity sales as Markets sink

Chinese authorities asked some investment funds this week to avoid being net sellers of equities, as a rout in the nation’s financial markets deepened. Stock exchanges issued the so-called window guidance to several large mutual fund houses, telling them to refrain for a day from selling more onshore shares.

16 Aug 2023

China Shadow Banking Giant Alarms Investors With Missed Payments

One of China’s largest private wealth managers is triggering fresh anxiety about the health of the country’s #shadowbanking industry after missing payments on multiple high-yield products. Zhongrong International Trust Co. missed payments on dozens of products and has no immediate plan to make clients whole, indicating troubles at the embattled Chinese shadow bank are deeper than previously known. Wang Qiang, board secretary of the firm partly owned by financial giant Zhongzhi Enterprise Group Co., told investors in a meeting earlier this week that the firm missed payments on a batch of products on Aug. 8, adding to delays on at least 10 others since late July, according to people familiar with the matter. At least 30 products are now overdue and Zhongrong also halted redemptions on some short-term instruments, one of the people said. Source: bloomberg

16 Aug 2023

China's credit landscape under stress!

Ever since the shockwaves of the #CountryGarden upheaval, the Chinese credit landscape has been undergoing a seismic shift. The credit default swap (#CDS) market tells a compelling story - #China's 5-year CDS is on a relentless rise (+25bps), and the Markit iTraxx Asian ex Japan #InvestmentGrade index is soaring (+30bps). Foreign investors are strategically repositioning, swiftly #divesting their holdings in Chinese #assets, particularly on the domestic front. Can the #PBOC orchestrate the necessary #stimulus maneuvers to put an end to this spiral of uncertainty?

15 Aug 2023

Japan GDP grew 6%, handily beating expectations on robust exports - but domestic demand disappoints

Japan Q2 GDP improves to 1.5% QoQ vs 0.8% expected and 0.1% prior, meaning Japan grows 6.0% on annualized basis, far more than expected (+2.9% yoy). However, some details of the report weren’t as impressive as the headline. As pointed out by analysts in CNBC report, nearly all of the increase in output was driven by a 1.8%-pts boost from net trade. That marked the second-largest contribution from net trade in the 28-year history of the current GDP series, with only the bounce back in exports from the first lockdown at the beginning of the pandemic providing a larger boost. Exports rebounded 3.2% from the previous quarter — largely driven by the spike in car shipments — while imports plunged 4.3% over the time period. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ, CNBC

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