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18 Apr 2025

Remarkable how little overlap there is between the main categories of 🇺🇸 imports from 🇪🇺 (pharma, cars, chemicals) & 🇨🇳 (phones, computers, semi-durable consumer goods).

This means limited scope for 🇪🇺 to supplant China imports, which face prohibitive tariffs (main beneficiary is Vietnam). Source: Daniel Kral @DanielKral1

18 Apr 2025

CHINA just SOLD 15,000 BITCOIN, opting to instead buy RECORD amounts of GOLD

Source: Legitimate Targets

17 Apr 2025

Chinese purchases of American oil are down -90% Y/Y, while Chinese purchases of Canadian oil are up +700% Y/Y.

That’s a $20B annual loss for the United States at $60/barrel. This will help reducing the trade deficit... Source: Bloomberg, Spencer Hakimian on X, Vortexa

17 Apr 2025

Trade, tech and Treasuries: China holds cards in US tariff stand-off - by FT

Marta Bengoa, professor of international economics at City University of New York, said that while the US and China remained heavily interdependent in trade, this meant the ultimate balance of risk was on the US side. “US dependence on China is higher, because China can source agricultural products from elsewhere more easily than the US can replace electronics and machinery,” she said. “Beijing is already buying up soyabeans from Brazil, for example, so in the end China has a bit more leverage.”

16 Apr 2025

Interesting thread on X

China just launched a new kind of trade war. "The U.S. slapped tariffs on Chinese goods. China didn’t retaliate with weapons. They retaliated with information. The kind that makes $1,000 handbags look like $10 scams. TikTok is now flooded with Chinese suppliers exposing the truth: 👜 “You want a Birkin? We make them.” 🧘♀️ “Those $100 Lululemons? They’re $6 here.” 👟 “Your Nikes? Same factory.” Made in China. Shipped to Europe. Stamped “luxury.” Sent back. Marked up 1,000%. You thought you were buying European craftsmanship. You were buying a logo, a story, and a markup fantasy. China just ripped the mask off the entire Western luxury machine and showed you the receipts. And they’re being petty with it. 😏 They’re not just selling you knockoffs. They’re showing you the exact factory. Telling you the production cost. And teaching you how to fly in, shop direct, and skip tariffs altogether.

16 Apr 2025

🚨BREAKING: TARIFF NEWS

State companies exporting from China face UP TO 245% Tariffs *Except if you are Apple $AAPL Source: @realDonaldTrump

16 Apr 2025

China on Wednesday appointed Li Chenggang as vice minister of commerce and a top representative for international trade negotiation, according to an official statement, replacing Wang Shouwen.

The appointment makes Li a key member of China’s trade negotiation team as Beijing deals with trade disputes with the U.S. So far, there have not been any sign of near-term trade talks as both sides have ratcheted up tariff tensions. Source: CNBC

16 Apr 2025

Nvidia said on Tuesday that it will take a quarterly charge of about $5.5 billion tied to exporting H20 graphics processing units to China and other destinations

The stock slid almost 5% in extended trading. ➡️ Biden placed these original restrictions on Nvidia, to not allow China to get their hands on the latest generation chips. Nvidia spent billions on new less powerful chips that met the U.S. original criteria so it could still sell to China. And now Trump has ruled those same chips as illegal to be sold to China. For businesses, it is very difficult to operate with this level of policy volatility... Source: Bloomberg, Spencer Hakimian @SpencerHakimian

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