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4 Apr 2025

🔴 Breaking news:

China has announced it will impose additional tariffs of 34% on imports from the US in retaliation for duties of the same amount unveiled by President Donald Trump this week as part of his aggressive trade agenda ▶️ The U.S. exported around $143.5 billion worth of goods to China in 2024. The category worth the most was electric machinery and sound equipment at $15.3 billion (up 31 percent from 2023). Aerospace products also saw a substantial increase year-on-year, up 69 percent to $11.5 billion in 2024. Meanwhile, mineral fuels and oilseeds and grains saw declines of 26 percent and 15 percent, respectively, since 2023. The U.S. has a trade deficit with China, meaning it imports more from China than it exports. Source: Statista, Mario Nawfal

3 Apr 2025

CHINA URGES US TO IMMEDIATELY CANCEL RECIPROCAL TARIFFS, VOWS COUNTER-MEASURES

Source: Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital

3 Apr 2025

If the 34% tariff is on top of previous tariffs, China's average tariff rate is up 54 ppts this year, swamping what was done in President Trump's first term.

Question: How will China react? If China devalues the Yuan, that could trigger a major risk-off across the world... Source: Robin Brooks

25 Mar 2025

China Saves Fiscal Power for Trade War as Spending Progress Lags – Bloomberg

China’s government appears in no rush to implement its budget, as Beijing preserves spending power to counter any damage inflicted by higher US tariffs. The combined expenditure in the general public budget and the government fund account, China’s two main fiscal books, rose to 5.65 trillion yuan ($779 billion) in the first two months, an increase of 2.9% from the same period a year earlier, according to Bloomberg calculations based on data released by the Ministry of Finance on Monday.

14 Mar 2025

What a change of perception in 3 years...

It seems that the West too often underestimates China China has achieved what they deemed impossible to do. We've seen this first hand in the EVs, electric batteries, solar panels, wind turbines and renewable energy. We might see it with AI as well Source: Cyrus Janssen @thecyrusjanssen @richardturrin

12 Mar 2025

The United States now accounts for just 0.1% of global shipbuilding… 0.1%

Meanwhile, China alone is 53%+. (h/t: @BrianTHart) thru Geiger Capital

10 Mar 2025

Oups... Is Porsche a dead man walking?

Source: Alex @alex_avoigt on X

5 Mar 2025

China's out with some proper fiscal firepower: Highest official deficit target in 30+ years

Plus... CNY1.3 trillion in ultra-long special sovereign bonds CNY4.4 trillion in new special local govt bonds CNY500 billion in special sovereign bonds China on Wednesday set its GDP growth target for 2025 at “around 5%” and laid out stimulus measures to boost its economy amid escalating trade tensions with the U.S. Beijing raised its budget deficit target to “around 4%” of GDP from 3% last year, according to the official report, as the country’s top legislative body held its annual meeting. The 4% deficit would mark the highest on record going back to 2010, according to data accessed via Wind Information. The prior high was 3.6% in 2020, the data showed. Source: Bloomberg, David Ingles on X, CNBC

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