For nearly a decade, this group traded in a very narrow price-to-sales range, but it's different this time???
Source: Lawrence McDonald, Bloomberg
The market cap of technology stocks as a percentage of the S&P 500 just hit a record 44%
This percentage is now ~12% higher than after the 2000 Dot-com bubble peak of 32%. Over the last 10 years, this share has more than DOUBLED. Also, since 2014 Nasdaq 100 has added 426% compared to a 182% gain in the S&P 500. Are tech stocks set to account for the majority of the S&P 500? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The best performing stocks in the SP500 this year...
Source: Charlie Bilello
As per The Kobeisi Letter >>> The S&P 500 is now up 34% in under 8 MONTHS
Since the October 2023 low, the S&P 500 has added 1,370 points or $11.5 TRILLION in market cap. In other words, the S&P 500 has added ~$1.4 trillion in market cap PER MONTH for the last 8 months in a row. This means that the S&P 500's return since October 2023 is now 3 times the average annual return. Nvidia stock alone, $NVDA, has added $2.2 trillion in market cap over this time period. That's ~20% of the S&P 500's market cap gains coming from just one stock...
Mag7 stocks have added $2.3 trillion in market cap in Q2 so far... while the 493 other stocks in the S&P 500 have lost $720 billion...
Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
The market cap-weighted SP500 is outperforming equal weight index by over 10% this year, following 12% outperformance in 2023
Since 1971, we've never seen consecutive years with >10% outperformance. Source: Charlie Bilello
$NVDA, the road to $3,000,000,000,000
Great visual by Quartr 👌
As highlighted by Sentiment Trader, market breadth for Nasdaq 100 QQQ is indeed a growing concern
The Nasdaq 100 continues to notch record high after record high. Many of its stocks are not only lagging, but they're falling to monthly, quarterly, or even yearly lows and below their 10-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages. This is not normal. In fact, it's never happened before to this degree. There is a possibility that the average stock will catch up to the index, that is not how things usually pan out. Almost never, in fact. Risk is high in that index.
