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4 Jan 2024

bitcoin annual returns 2010-2023

Source: Charlie Bilello

22 Dec 2023

Tencent's stock crashes 16% in minutes after Beijing released draft guidelines aimed at curbing incentives that could lead to excessive gaming and spending

Tencent is China's largest public company and the drop erased ~$55 billion of market cap. This also marks the biggest one-day drop for the company since 2008. Note that NetEase sank by as much as 28% to HK$117.30, breaking briefly below a key technical support offered by a February low at around HK$120.70. In mid-afternoon trade, NetEase shares pared losses to trade down about 20% at HK$129. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, CNBC

21 Dec 2023

Tavi Costa -> Brazilian equity markets have experienced near-record foreign investments in the last month

Despite all the skepticism about $EWZ is outperforming the S&P 500 by 23 percentage points in the last 2 years. The aggregate market cap of Brazilian stocks relative to its overall money supply remains near historical lows. Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

21 Dec 2023

Between 2:00 and 4:00 PM ET today, the S&P 500 erased ~$600 billion of market cap

To put this in perspective, the S&P 500 added ~$600 billion of market cap over the last week. The index was up for 10 straight days but erased 5 of those daily gains in 2 hours. The volatility index, $VIX, spiked ~10% in a matter of minutes. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

21 Dec 2023

FedEx is not the market, but...

...has moved in perfect tandem with thee SPX for some time. Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv

21 Dec 2023

Steno Research -> Big miss from FedEx leading to a >10% nosedive in the stock price

FedEx is the economy and air freight was particularly disappointing here Given the strong correlation between FedEx and the cyclical economy, this speaks against expecting a strong comeback in 2024 Source: Steno Research, Macrobond, Bloomberg

21 Dec 2023

BREAKING : Short Sellers

U.S. Stock Short Sellers have lost a reported $145 billion this year. Complete wipeout Source: Barchart

20 Dec 2023

In just 5 days, $SPY has taken in $50B+, more than any other ETF YTD! This is the biggest 5-day take for $SPY since January 2018

This is the biggest 5-day take for $SPY since January 2018. FYI - the following week Jan 30, 2018, was vol-maggeon, (the $VIX went from 12 to 50 in 3 days and the $SPX plunged 10+% in 9 days) Source: Jim Bianco

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