A funny one by Trend Spider
True story $SPY
The S&P 500 has not had a weekly drop of 2% or more since the week of October 23rd, 2023.
There have only been a total of TWO weekly drops in the entire 2024 so far. Since October 2023, the S&P 500 has added almost $11 TRILLION in market cap. That's more than 4 TIMES the value of the Canadian stock market added in 5 months. $11 trillion in market cap is also the same value of China's entire stock market. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Maybe we have hit the pain threshold...
i,e the hashtag#nasdaq green line) can not move higher as the number of rate cuts expected for this year (red line) keeps decreasing... Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
What are the biggest shorts?
Microstrategy $MSTR is one of the biggest shorts in the entire US market. Nvidia $NVDA is currently leading the pack. Source: Bloomberg
A contrarian idea on us small caps?
=> FUNDSTRAT: “.. Our top idea for 2024 is small-caps, where we see at least 50% upside .. Russell 2000 companies are set to grow .. faster than the $SPX .. Valuations are far more attractive .. when CEO confidence recovers, we also see the low valuations as setting the stage for synergistic M&A ..” Source: Carl Quintanilla, Fund strat
BREAKING: The Nasdaq Composite index is officially up 30% from its October 2023 low.
That's a 30% gain in 5 months or an average of 6% per month since October. To put this in perspective, the median ANNUAL return for the S&P 500 is 10%. This means that the Nasdaq has TRIPLED the median sp500 return in just 5 months. The top 10% of stocks in the S&P 500 also now reflect 75% of the index. Tech stocks have never been more powerful. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Current SP500 vs. election seasonality
by Win Smart, CFA
Global equity risk premium are now at the lowest since 2008.
Source: Mike Zaccardi
