Hedging demand has fallen sharply with the cost to protect against a market selloff down by around 10%, or one-standard deviation, tumbling to the lowest ever in data starting in 2013
Demand for tail-risk hedges that pay out in an equity fall as precipitous as 30% has also dropped and is hovering around the lowest level since March.- Bloomberg
Nasdaq has now listed 0DTE Options (Zero Days to Expiry) for ETFS tracking silver, gold, oil, natural gas, and treasuries. Let the games begin! 🎰
Financial Times >>> "Trading in a controversial type of derivative known as “zero-day” options is spreading to Treasury and commodity markets, as Nasdaq and other exchange groups try to replicate a boom that has transformed trading in US stock indices. Nasdaq this week listed a series of new options contracts tracking some of the most popular exchange traded funds investing in gold, silver, natural gas, oil and long-term Treasuries. Options contracts give investors the right to buy or sell an asset at a fixed price by a given date. Trading a contract on the day it expires is known as zero-day trading and can be used to bet on or hedge against extremely short-term market moves. Zero-day trading in options tied to the S&P 500 index boomed in popularity during the coronavirus pandemic. Initially viewed as a temporary phenomenon driven by speculative retail traders, the surge sparked concern among some analysts and regulators that it could create systemic risk by exacerbating market moves. Source: FT, Barchart
Up again today. Index is up 8%. This group of Chinese stocks is up over 50% in just a few weeks
Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
A gauge of early-stage small, mid-cap growth stocks in China has rallied 40% within just a few weeks
Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
Consensus expects Net margins for the Magnificent 7 to stay significantly higher than the rest of the S&P 500
Source: Goldman Sachs, TME
The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 ETFs are now less than 2% below their all-time high while the Russell 2000 ETF (small caps) is 24% below its high and the ARK Innovation ETF is 71% below its high
Source: Charlie Bilello
The rally in US stocks in recent weeks has taken attention away from what looks like a pretty concerning forward picture from earnings releases
Q4 earnings expectations have come down considerably in recent weeks, in contrast with equity market strength. Source: Bob Elliott, Factset
A look back on just how rapid Nvidia's $NVDA data center growth has been
· +79.7% CAGR since Q3 FY17's $240M revenue. · Reached record levels at $1.9B in Q3 FY21. · Grown 664% since then to $14.51B in Q3 FY24. · Projected to reach $46.6B in FY24, 56x more than FY17's $830M. Source: Beth Kindig
