Chinese tech stocks are up 10% this week, set for best week since the reopening rally in late 2022 as things stand.Clone)
Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
FINANCIAL GRAVITY as explained by Peruvian Bull:
If we divide the performance of the S&P 500 by the Fed’s Balance Sheet since the GFC, the LINE IS FLAT. This means that there has been basically NO REAL growth in stock prices since 2008- with the only rise in prices due to money printing. The correlation coefficient between central bank quantitative easing and the price of stock indexes is nearly 1... Source: Bloomberg
The power of share buybacks
'Since 2013, we have now bought back almost 50% of our shares.' Pulte 2023 Annual Report Source: MastersInvest.com, Bloomberg
How are the 'Magnificent 7' Tech Stocks doing so far this year?
Nvidia Is Up +53.9% $NVDA Meta Is Up +35.9% $META Amazon Is Up +14.9% $AMZN Alphabet Is Up +10.5% $GOOGL Microsoft Is Up +6.1% $MSFT Apple Is Down -14.3% $AAPL Tesla Is Down -40.8% $TSLA $SPY Source: Bloomberg, Jesse Cohen
"The stock-bond correlation switch is the ultimate diversification regime shift."
"You don't have as great a need for alternatives when the correlation is negative. Investor search for diversification should be at a heightened level." Source: BofA, Darren
Big Election Year Q1s Dip April-May Before Gains Last 7 Months.
2024 is 3rd best Election Q1 since 1950 tracking. Historically, there is a dip in April-May before gains till year-ned. There was only 2 losses in the last 7 months of election years since 1950 (2000 & 2008) Source: Ryan Detrick, CMT, AlmanacTrader
As shown by Jeroen Blokland >>> The Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is down 48% since April 2020.
This means investors have realized a negative return of 15% annually on long-duration bonds over the last four years. Moreover, this 'return' was realized with structurally higher volatility and, on average, a positive correlation with stocks. It also means the market for long-duration bonds has to double(!) to erase losses. Source: Jeroen Blokland
$BABA Alibaba free cash flow vs share price
Source: KoyfinCharts
