After posting its worst and best day in over a year, the S&P 500 just closed the week down 2 POINTS.
That's a 0.04% decline in a week when the $VIX hit 65... Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg
The % of Bulls in the Investors Intelligence Sentiment Index moved down over 17% in the past 2 weeks (from 64.2% to 46.9%)
That's the biggest 2-week % drop in Bulls since the October 1987 crash. Source: Charlie Bilello
Equities tend to perform well after the Fed cutting cycle starts, unless growth is weak
Source: Goldman Sachs, Mike Z.
There is no free lunch in finance
Funds designed to protect investors from volatility failed to protect investors during periods of high volatility Source: FT, Barchart
The market is pricing in a 50 basis point rate cut next month.
Market returns following rate cuts have been positive except for periods when the market is generally in crisis. Source: Charlie Bilello, Peter Mallouk
The S&P 500 officially posted its best day since November 2022.
Source: Bloomberg, The Kobeissi Letter
Stock market corrections are a common occurrence: Since 1928, the S&P 500 has experienced a decline of 5% or more in 94% of years.
A correction of 10% or more happened in 61 out of the last 96 years. A larger drawdown of 15%+ was seen in 40% of the years in the 1928-2023 timeframe. Finally, a bear market with a 20% drop or more took place in 25 out of the last 96 years. Stock market pullbacks are normal. Source: Ritholtz Financial, The Kobeissi Letter
US bond vigilantes managed to turn the stockmarket around.
Investors shunned a $42bn auction of benchmark 10-year US securities, which drew a yield that was well above the pre-sale indicative level. That horrible bond auction pushed stocks lower. Source: Bloomberg, @johnauthers, HolgerZ
