Many are concerned that higher rates will hurt growth, but it turns out that a lot of S&P 500 companies have locked in debt at much lower rates until 2030
Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs
Global equity positioning by ctas is very, very long
Source: Markets & Mayhem, Goldman Sachs
Another big week of earnings coming up!
• Monday: $MNDY. • Tuesday: $HD, $NU, $SE. • Wednesday: $CSCO, $JD, $STNE, $TCEHY. • Thursday: $BILL, $WMT. Source: Earnings Whisper, App Economy Insight
Out of 20 valuation metrics, the SP500 is currently overvalued on 19 of them relative to historical levels
Source: Barchart
Nvidia ($NVDA) was the big loser, down over 8% on the week (its biggest weekly loss since Sept 2022...)
Will the stock repeat a similar de-bubbling process than the one which took place after the crypto/mining boom? (at the time, Nvidia chips were seeing growing demand from the crypto miners but the buzz faded when crypto crashed) Let's keep in mind that Nvida is now a much BIGGER WEIGHT in the key US equity indices than it used to be at the time... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Within US equities, Large-cap technology stocks have corrected the most since the start of August as shown by declines in the "Magnificent 7" and NASDAQ index.
Source: Edward Jones
During stagflationary periods, the SP500 index tends to be inversely correlated with inflation
Tavi Costa: "From the late-1960s to the mid-1970s, equity markets declined whenever CPI rates re-accelerated to the upside. The primary driver behind this negative correlation stems from the market's growing concern about the potential for a tighter monetary policy to address the persistent increase in consumer prices". Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
Short Sellers have lost a combined $175.2 Billion by betting against the market this year
Source: barchart
