Should you do the opposite of what Wall Street strategists say? Data over the last 3.5 years suggests that strategists underperform the S&P 500
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
Tavi Costa: "Brazilian equities have been attracting unprecedented levels of foreign capital investments, marking a fundamental shift since the global financial crisis
Net inflows from international investors over the past 50 days have reached historically elevated levels, maintaining a consistent upward trajectory over the last two years". Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg
Is stocks leadership vs. commodities starting to roll over?
Source: J-C Parets
Given the expensive level of stocks valuations (especially tech), there is little room left for bad news
Valuation ratios are bad timing tools but help assessing the downside potential. Source: Charlie Bilello
Nasdaq has now been 'overbought' for 60 days
Its longest period since the run-up to the bursting of the dot-com bubble...
CTAs are long net $58BN in US equities, just shy of the upper-end of the 5-year range
Could they trigger an acceleration of the equity sell-off if the S&P 500 breaks some key support level? Here are the key levels to watch according to GS: Short-term threshold = 4440 (-1.6%) Medium-term threshold (the most important one) = 4257 (-5.6%) Long-term threshold = 4240 (-6.1%) Source: Goldman
Bonds and equities re-correlate...The recent acceleration in yields appears to have had an effect on long-duration risk-assets...
Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Amazon reported second-quarter earnings on Thursday that sailed past analysts’ estimates and issued guidance that points to accelerating revenue growth
The stock rose more than 10% in extended trading. AMZN Amazon Q2 FY23: • Revenue +11% Y/Y to $134.3B ($3B beat). • Operating margin 6% (+3pp Y/Y). • FCF $7.9B TTM. • EPS $0.65. AWS: • Revenue +12% Y/Y to $22.1B. • Operating margin 24% (-4pp Y/Y). Q3 FY23 Guidance: • Revenue ~$140B ($2B beat). Source: App Economy Insights, CNBC
