Us small caps are up 6.8% over the last 3 trading days while US Large Caps are flat.
The 6.8% spread is 6 standard deviations above the mean & the 3rd largest small outperformance since inception of the first small cap ETF in May 2000. $IWM $SPY Source: Charlie Bilello
Us and China tech stocks have now become completely decoupled from each other, from a markets perspective.
David Ingles: "The 40-day correlation of $QQQ & $KWEB has turned negative. These are two behaviourally different assets FOR NOW. What might be good for one, may not necessarily boost the other. Chart underscores many global stories: difference in AI representation in each market, tech decoupling, geopolitical rifts, economies in different parts of their cycles". Source: David Ingles on X, Bloomberg
Weak China demand is weighing on European luxury & consumer discretionary stocks.
- Swatch Group (UHR SW) reported a steep fall in first half sales and earnings on Monday as the world’s biggest watchmaker struggled with weaker demand in China. The company’s drop in turnover was triggered by a slump in demand for luxury goods in China, including Hong Kong and Macau, with only the Swatch brand bucking the negative trend, increasing its sales in China by 10%, the company said in a statement. - Hugo Boss (BOSS GY) shares plunged as much as 10% Tuesday after the company cut its sales outlook. The German fashion house said Monday that it expects full-year sales of up to 4.35 billion euros ($4.73 billion) on macroeconomic challenges, particularly in China. The retailer becomes the latest high-end fashion line to warn of persistent woes in the luxury sector. Source: CNBC
US equity futures traders have never, ever been 'longer' than they are now...
Source: GS
Trump Media shares $DJT surge 50% in premarket trading after assassination attempt
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The current equity bull market explained in 4 charts...
Source: TME, BofA
Yesterday was a big ROTATION day on US equities market with small-caps hugely outperforming large-caps
Indeed, small-cap Russell 2,000 gained 3%+ while the S&P 500 fell on the day. The only other day that happened was back on 10/10/2008... Investors probaby have these 2 charts in mind: 1) The HUGE underperformance of small caps vs large aps over the recent years; 2) History showing that Small caps outperform AFTER the first rate cut. The lower than expected US CPI iunflation number for June acted as a trigger for the rotation with hedge funds being forced to cover their long large / short small par trades. Source: Bloomberg, DB, RBC
The US equities market explained in one image
Source: Trend Spider
