In August '25, German industrial production collapsed 4.3% m/m.
Germany is headed for the third consecutive recession year. To Dr Polleit, the "Great Reset" is destroying industrual production and economic growth in Germany. ➡️ Polleit is a German economist affiliated with the Austrian School of economics, and president of the Ludwig von Mises Institut Deutschland. Mises Institute. He is strongly skeptical of state intervention, central banking, fiat money, and what he sees as coercive economic planning ➡️Polleit general critiques on Germany are the following: 👉 Heavy regulation, strong state involvement 👉Germany’s ambitious transition from fossil fuels to renewables may cause disruptions in energy supply, cost volatility, grid stresses, and increase production costs 👉Export dependence and global competition 👉Monetary and fiscal pressures reduce real returns on capital and discourage long-term investment. 👉Uncertainty and investment risk 👉With more government programs, state investment, subsidies, and oversight, private actors may be crowded out or discouraged. Polleit would claim that entrepreneurship and innovation decline. 👉Central planning or incentive distortions lead to misallocation of capital. Polleit warns that “green subsidies” or mandated transitions may favor politically connected actors rather than the most efficient ones. 🚨 Hence, under Polleit’s logic, Germany — already having high regulation, energy transition burdens, export dependency, and significant state involvement — would be particularly vulnerable to further growth suppression from Great Reset-type policies. He would argue that growth is slowly being “destroyed” by compounding layers of regulatory, monetary, and fiscal drag. Source: Thorsten Polleit @ThorstenPolleit on X
France changes its Prime Ministers more often than some people buy new underwear...
Source: Connexion VisActu
In case you missed it... Eurozone inflation picked up in Sep, with CPI rising 2.2% YoY, driven by hashtag#energy base effects and higher service costs.
Core inflation, which excluding volatile items like energy & food, remained steady at 2.3%, in line with expectations. Source: Bloomberg, HolgrZ
The German auto industry is expected to eliminate nearly 100,000 jobs by 2030.
Carmakers and their suppliers are struggling w/waning demand, high labor & energy costs & intensifying competition from Chinese manufacturers. Overall, Germany’s auto sector has lost roughly 55,000 jobs over the past 2yrs. Tens of thousands of additional positions are set to disappear by 2030, in an industry that employs more than 700,000 people. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
In Germany, the short-lived rally at the start of the year has already fizzled out.
The country is losing ground on the global stage: German stocks now make up just 2.1% of global market capitalization, down from 2.4% only three months ago. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
Germany versus Nvidia
The German stock market keeps lagging in the AI era. The entire German market is valued at ~$3tn, well below Nvidia’s nearly $4.5tn market cap. Germany-to-Nvidia now stands at 0.67, near an all-time low. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
EU economy troubles summarized in once cartoon
Source: @WallStreetMav
Big Tech groups are losing a political battle in Brussels to gain access to the EU’s financial data market
This was despite Donald Trump’s threats to punish countries that “discriminate” against US companies with higher tariffs. With the support of Germany, the EU is moving to exclude Meta, Apple, Google and Amazon from a new system for sharing financial data that is designed to enable development of digital finance products for consumers. Such a decision would hand a significant boost to banks in their efforts to fight off a competitive threat from Big Tech groups, which they fear will use their data to disintermediate them from their customers while extracting much of the value of knowing people’s spending and saving behaviour. After more than two years, negotiations on the Financial Data Access (FiDA) regulation are entering the final stages in coming weeks, with Big Tech groups facing almost certain defeat, according to diplomats. Source: FT https://lnkd.in/eMfM2QFb
