---
title: Syz The Moment | europe (3)
description: europe | Syz The Moment (3)
---

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## Straight from the Desk

# **Syz** the moment

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Show more

10 Aug 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-equities-are-regaining-investor-interest-as-strong-earnings-falling-oil-prices-and-diversification-away-from-volatile-ai-stocks-improve-t-1786372980728&text=European%20equities%20are%20regaining%20investor%20interest%20as%20strong%20earnings,%20falling%20oil%20prices%20and%20diversification%20away%20from%20volatile%20AI%20stocks%20improve%20the%20region’s%20appeal.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-equities-are-regaining-investor-interest-as-strong-earnings-falling-oil-prices-and-diversification-away-from-volatile-ai-stocks-improve-t-1786372980728&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1786310238624.jpg&title=European%20equities%20are%20regaining%20investor%20interest%20as%20strong%20earnings,%20falling%20oil%20prices%20and%20diversification%20away%20from%20volatile%20AI%20stocks%20improve%20the%20region’s%20appeal.&summary=Earnings%20are%20accelerating:%20European%20companies%20are%20tracking%2022%%20YoY%20Q2%20earnings%20growth,%20the%20strongest%20since%202022,%20with%20broad%20strength%20across%20sectors.%20Banks%20are%20leading:%20The%20Stoxx%20Banks%20index%20is%20up%2021%%20this%20year,%20versus%2011.5%%20for%20the%20Stoxx%20Europe%20600,%20supported%20by%20higher%20rates%20and%20strong%20trading%20revenues.%20Flows%20are%20returning:%20European%20ETFs%20recorded%20positive%20net%20inflows%20in%20July,%20while%20BlackRock%20saw%20$4.4bn%20flow%20into%20its%20European%20equity%20products.%20Lower%20oil%20helps:%20Oil%20below%20$90%20and%20easing%20Middle%20East%20tensions%20have%20reduced%20fears%20of%20a%20major%20energy%20shock%20for%20Europe.%20Diversification%20appeal:%20July’s%20semiconductor%20sell-off%20reinforced%20Europe’s%20role%20as%20an%20“anti-AI”%20trade%20with%20less%20dependence%20on%20mega-cap%20technology.%20Fundamentals%20improving:%20Eurozone%20GDP%20grew%20a%20stronger-than-expected%200.4%%20in%20Q2,%20supporting%20the%20rotation.%20Source:%20FT&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-equities-are-regaining-investor-interest-as-strong-earnings-falling-oil-prices-and-diversification-away-from-volatile-ai-stocks-improve-t-1786372980728>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-equities-are-regaining-investor-interest-as-strong-earnings-falling-oil-prices-and-diversification-away-from-volatile-ai-stocks-improve-t-1786372980728>

#### European equities are regaining investor interest as strong earnings, falling oil prices and diversification away from volatile AI stocks improve the region’s appeal.

Earnings are accelerating: European companies are tracking 22% YoY Q2 earnings growth, the strongest since 2022, with broad strength across sectors. Banks are leading: The Stoxx Banks index is up 21% this year, versus 11.5% for the Stoxx Europe 600, supported by higher rates and strong trading revenues. Flows are returning: European ETFs recorded positive net inflows in July, while BlackRock saw $4.4bn flow into its European equity products. Lower oil helps: Oil below $90 and easing Middle East tensions have reduced fears of a major energy shock for Europe. Diversification appeal: July’s semiconductor sell-off reinforced Europe’s role as an “anti-AI” trade with less dependence on mega-cap technology. Fundamentals improving: Eurozone GDP grew a stronger-than-expected 0.4% in Q2, supporting the rotation. Source: FT

[#equities|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/equities) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![European equities are regaining investor interest as strong earnings, falling oil prices and diversification away from volatile AI stocks improve the region’s appeal.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1786310238624.jpg)

![European equities are regaining investor interest as strong earnings, falling oil prices and diversification away from volatile AI stocks improve the region’s appeal.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1786310238624.jpg)

24 Jul 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-gas-futures-are-back-near-their-highest-level-since-the-iran-war-started&text=European%20gas%20futures%20are%20back%20near%20their%20highest%20level%20since%20the%20Iran%20war%20started>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-gas-futures-are-back-near-their-highest-level-since-the-iran-war-started&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1784848210204.jpg&title=European%20gas%20futures%20are%20back%20near%20their%20highest%20level%20since%20the%20Iran%20war%20started&summary=The%20reason:%20Europe%20is%20losing%20the%20LNG%20bidding%20war.%20Imports%20down%2035%%20y/y%20over%20the%20last%20month;%20China>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/european-gas-futures-are-back-near-their-highest-level-since-the-iran-war-started>

#### European gas futures are back near their highest level since the Iran war started

The reason: Europe is losing the LNG bidding war. Imports down 35% y/y over the last month; China's up 8%. TTF is back near its post-Iran-war high — not because Europe wants more gas, but because it has to pay up to get any. The cargoes aren't disappearing, they're just sailing east. US exporters are indifferent to which. Source: Jack Prandelli on X, Bloomberg

[#geopolitics|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/geopolitics) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![European gas futures are back near their highest level since the Iran war started](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1784848210204.jpg)

![European gas futures are back near their highest level since the Iran war started](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1784848210204.jpg)

9 Jul 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/are-france-italy-belgium-heading-into-a-debt-crisis&text=Are%20France,%20Italy%20&%20Belgium%20heading%20into%20a%20debt%20crisis%20>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/are-france-italy-belgium-heading-into-a-debt-crisis&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1-Jul-09-2026-03-30-34-0117-PM.jpg&title=Are%20France,%20Italy%20&%20Belgium%20heading%20into%20a%20debt%20crisis%20???&summary=Government%20interest%20expenditures%20(as%20a%20&%20of%20GDP)%20is%20forecasted%20to%20explode%20in%20the%20coming%20years.%20There%20are%20only%20two%20options%20left%20for%20them:%201.%20They%20cut%20spending%20and%20implement%20business%20friendly%20pro-growth%20policies%202.%20They%20will%20face%20a%20debt%20crisis.%20The%20first%20Euro%20crisis%20was%20about%20hundreds%20of%20billions,%20the%20next%20one%20will%20be%20about%20trillions%20Which%20one%20will%20it%20be?%20Source:%20Michel%20A.Arouet&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/are-france-italy-belgium-heading-into-a-debt-crisis>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/are-france-italy-belgium-heading-into-a-debt-crisis>

#### Are France, Italy & Belgium heading into a debt crisis ???

Government interest expenditures (as a & of GDP) is forecasted to explode in the coming years. There are only two options left for them: 1. They cut spending and implement business friendly pro-growth policies 2. They will face a debt crisis. The first Euro crisis was about hundreds of billions, the next one will be about trillions Which one will it be? Source: Michel A.Arouet

[#Central banks|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/central-banks) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![Are France, Italy & Belgium heading into a debt crisis ???](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1-Jul-09-2026-03-30-34-0117-PM.jpg)

![Are France, Italy & Belgium heading into a debt crisis ???](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1-Jul-09-2026-03-30-34-0117-PM.jpg)

8 Jul 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/breaking-president-trump-just-ordered-to-immediately-halt-all-trade-with-spain&text=BREAKING:%20President%20Trump%20just%20ordered%20to%20immediately%20halt%20all%20trade%20with%20Spain.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/breaking-president-trump-just-ordered-to-immediately-halt-all-trade-with-spain&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/4-Jul-08-2026-03-35-40-9982-PM.jpg&title=BREAKING:%20President%20Trump%20just%20ordered%20to%20immediately%20halt%20all%20trade%20with%20Spain.&summary=Trump%20made%20the%20remarks%20during%20a%20NATO%20meeting%20while%20standing%20next%20to%20NATO%20Secretary%20General%20Mark%20Rutte.%20Trump>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/breaking-president-trump-just-ordered-to-immediately-halt-all-trade-with-spain>

#### BREAKING: President Trump just ordered to immediately halt all trade with Spain.

Trump made the remarks during a NATO meeting while standing next to NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. Trump's core complaint is that Spain refuses to pay its NATO defense spending commitments. While Germany, France, the UK, and Italy have all been contributing, Spain has openly resisted meeting the 2% GDP defense spending target that NATO members are required to hit. Trump said he tested NATO members during the Iran conflict to see which ones would show up and support the US. Spain did not. "Spain is a terrible partner in NATO. They don't participate, they don't pay." "Cut off all trade with Spain immediately. Don't even talk to them. Including visits." Spain is one of the US's significant trading partners in Europe. The US exports roughly $16 billion worth of goods to Spain annually. Trump is threatening to end that entirely over NATO non compliance. "They make so much money with us and we are going to see that they make a lot less." Source: Bull Theory @BullTheoryio

[#United Kingdom|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/united-kingdom) [#geopolitics|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/geopolitics)

![BREAKING: President Trump just ordered to immediately halt all trade with Spain.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/4-Jul-08-2026-03-35-40-9982-PM.jpg)

![BREAKING: President Trump just ordered to immediately halt all trade with Spain.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/4-Jul-08-2026-03-35-40-9982-PM.jpg)

30 Jun 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/france-has-higher-public-spending-as-of-gdp-than-the-soviet-union-and-now-they-seriously-demand-new-taxes-at-the-eu-level-to-finance-their-absurd-1782831307714&text=France%20has%20higher%20public%20spending%20as%20%%20of%20GDP%20than%20the%20Soviet%20Union,%20and%20now%20they%20seriously%20demand%20new%20taxes%20at%20the%20EU%20level%20to%20finance%20their%20absurd%20public%20spending?>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/france-has-higher-public-spending-as-of-gdp-than-the-soviet-union-and-now-they-seriously-demand-new-taxes-at-the-eu-level-to-finance-their-absurd-1782831307714&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/4-Jun-30-2026-02-52-06-7319-PM.jpg&title=France%20has%20higher%20public%20spending%20as%20%%20of%20GDP%20than%20the%20Soviet%20Union,%20and%20now%20they%20seriously%20demand%20new%20taxes%20at%20the%20EU%20level%20to%20finance%20their%20absurd%20public%20spending?&summary=Germans%20were%20just%20told%20that%20they%20need%20to%20work%20much%20longer%20before%20retiring,%20why%20should%20the%20French%20retire%20so%20early?%20Source:%20Michel%20A.Arouet&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/france-has-higher-public-spending-as-of-gdp-than-the-soviet-union-and-now-they-seriously-demand-new-taxes-at-the-eu-level-to-finance-their-absurd-1782831307714>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/france-has-higher-public-spending-as-of-gdp-than-the-soviet-union-and-now-they-seriously-demand-new-taxes-at-the-eu-level-to-finance-their-absurd-1782831307714>

#### France has higher public spending as % of GDP than the Soviet Union, and now they seriously demand new taxes at the EU level to finance their absurd public spending?

Germans were just told that they need to work much longer before retiring, why should the French retire so early? Source: Michel A.Arouet

[#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![France has higher public spending as % of GDP than the Soviet Union, and now they seriously demand new taxes at the EU level to finance their absurd public spending?](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/4-Jun-30-2026-02-52-06-7319-PM.jpg)

![France has higher public spending as % of GDP than the Soviet Union, and now they seriously demand new taxes at the EU level to finance their absurd public spending?](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/4-Jun-30-2026-02-52-06-7319-PM.jpg)

11 Jun 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-expected-the-ecb-hiked-rates-by-25-basis-points-the-first-increase-since-2023&text=As%20expected,%20the%20ECB%20hiked%20rates%20by%2025%20basis%20points%20the%20first%20increase%20since%202023.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-expected-the-ecb-hiked-rates-by-25-basis-points-the-first-increase-since-2023&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/3-Jun-11-2026-03-37-46-9571-PM.jpg&title=As%20expected,%20the%20ECB%20hiked%20rates%20by%2025%20basis%20points%20the%20first%20increase%20since%202023.&summary=The%20ECB%20lifted%20its%20main%20refinancing%20rate%20to%202.40%%20and%20its%20deposit%20facility%20rate%20to%202.25%,%20citing%20inflation%20pressures%20following%20an%20Iran%20conflict-driven%20energy%20shock%20that%20pushed%20eurozone%20inflation%20to%203.2%.%20The%20surprise%20move%20comes%20as%20the%20eurozone%20economy%20shows%20signs%20of%20weakness,%20with%20GDP%20contracting%200.2%%20in%20Q1.%20Policymakers%20said%20the%20hike%20is%20aimed%20at%20preventing%20higher%20energy%20prices%20from%20becoming%20embedded%20in%20broader%20inflation.%20While%20this%20may%20draw%20criticism%20from%20some%20given%20the%20current%20growth%20context,%20the%20Bank%20actually%20has%20little%20choice.%20Unlike%20the%20Fed’s%20dual%20mandate%20of%20inflation%20and%20employment,%20the%20ECB%20has%20a%20single%20mandate:%20price%20stability.%20Note%20a%20big%20jump%20in%20the%20ECB>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/as-expected-the-ecb-hiked-rates-by-25-basis-points-the-first-increase-since-2023>

#### As expected, the ECB hiked rates by 25 basis points the first increase since 2023.

The ECB lifted its main refinancing rate to 2.40% and its deposit facility rate to 2.25%, citing inflation pressures following an Iran conflict-driven energy shock that pushed eurozone inflation to 3.2%. The surprise move comes as the eurozone economy shows signs of weakness, with GDP contracting 0.2% in Q1. Policymakers said the hike is aimed at preventing higher energy prices from becoming embedded in broader inflation. While this may draw criticism from some given the current growth context, the Bank actually has little choice. Unlike the Fed’s dual mandate of inflation and employment, the ECB has a single mandate: price stability. Note a big jump in the ECB's 26/27 inflation forecasts, offset by a drop in GDP forecasts HICP 2026: 3.0%, from 2.6% in March HICP 2027: 2.3%, from 2.0% HICP 2028: 2.1%, from 2.0% GDP 2026: 0.8%, from 0.9% GDP 2027: 1.2%, from 1.3% GDP 2028: 1.5%, from 1.4%

[#Central banks|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/central-banks) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![As expected, the ECB hiked rates by 25 basis points the first increase since 2023.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/3-Jun-11-2026-03-37-46-9571-PM.jpg)

![As expected, the ECB hiked rates by 25 basis points the first increase since 2023.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/3-Jun-11-2026-03-37-46-9571-PM.jpg)

11 May 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/germany-appears-to-be-heading-towards-stagflation&text=Germany%20appears%20to%20be%20heading%20towards%20stagflation.>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/germany-appears-to-be-heading-towards-stagflation&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/1-May-11-2026-12-08-32-4007-PM.jpg&title=Germany%20appears%20to%20be%20heading%20towards%20stagflation.&summary=Consensus%20GDP%20forecasts%20for%202026%20have%20been%20revised%20down%20from%20more%20than%201%%20to%20just%200.66%,%20while%20inflation%20forecasts%20have%20climbed%20above%202.7%.%20Against%20this%20backdrop,%20the%20ECB%20is%20now%20expected%20to%20raise%20interest%20rates%20twice%20–%20at%20least,%20that%20is%20what%20markets%20are%20pricing%20in.%20Source:%20HolgerZ,%20Bloomberg&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/germany-appears-to-be-heading-towards-stagflation>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/germany-appears-to-be-heading-towards-stagflation>

#### Germany appears to be heading towards stagflation.

Consensus GDP forecasts for 2026 have been revised down from more than 1% to just 0.66%, while inflation forecasts have climbed above 2.7%. Against this backdrop, the ECB is now expected to raise interest rates twice – at least, that is what markets are pricing in. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

[#Macroeconomics|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/macroeconomics) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![Germany appears to be heading towards stagflation.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1-May-11-2026-12-08-32-4007-PM.jpg)

![Germany appears to be heading towards stagflation.](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/1-May-11-2026-12-08-32-4007-PM.jpg)

7 May 2026

- <https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/in-germany-deeply-negative-energy-prices-due-to-solar-glut-are-forcing-a-rethink-of-the-energy-transition&text=In%20Germany,%20deeply%20negative%20energy%20prices%20due%20to%20solar%20glut%20are%20forcing%20a%20rethink%20of%20the%20energy%20transition>
- <http://www.linkedin.com/shareArticle?mini=true&url=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/in-germany-deeply-negative-energy-prices-due-to-solar-glut-are-forcing-a-rethink-of-the-energy-transition&submitted-image-url=https://25733253.fs1.hubspotusercontent-eu1.net/hubfs/25733253/9-May-07-2026-03-38-11-7010-PM.jpg&title=In%20Germany,%20deeply%20negative%20energy%20prices%20due%20to%20solar%20glut%20are%20forcing%20a%20rethink%20of%20the%20energy%20transition&summary=Economy%20Minister%20called%20to%20end%20subsidies%20for%20excess%20renewable%20electricity%20after%20costs%20ran%20into%20the%20tens%20of%20millions%20last%20weekend%20alone.%20Source:%20Bloomberg,%20HolgerZ&source=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/in-germany-deeply-negative-energy-prices-due-to-solar-glut-are-forcing-a-rethink-of-the-energy-transition>
- <https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/in-germany-deeply-negative-energy-prices-due-to-solar-glut-are-forcing-a-rethink-of-the-energy-transition>

#### In Germany, deeply negative energy prices due to solar glut are forcing a rethink of the energy transition

Economy Minister called to end subsidies for excess renewable electricity after costs ran into the tens of millions last weekend alone. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

[#energy|](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/energy) [#europe](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe)

![In Germany, deeply negative energy prices due to solar glut are forcing a rethink of the energy transition](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/9-May-07-2026-03-38-11-7010-PM.jpg)

![In Germany, deeply negative energy prices due to solar glut are forcing a rethink of the energy transition](https://blog.syzgroup.com/hubfs/9-May-07-2026-03-38-11-7010-PM.jpg)

❮❮ [❮](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/2)

[1](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/1) [2](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/2) [3](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/3) [4](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/4) [5](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/5)

[❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/4) [❯❯](https://blog.syzgroup.com/syz-the-moment/tag/europe/page/53?hsLang=en)

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