An overview of European real estate price indices by Bloomberg / HolgerZ:
A shortage of housing has led to record real estate prices in ireland. The national property price index has now reached a value of 170.0, which is 3.9% above its bubble peak in April 2007. Property prices have increased by 113% in past 10yrs. Recent Dublin riots exposed the anger of Irish Youth facing a housing crisis resulting from the high housing & rent prices. Note the decline in German house prices (in purple) and steady markets in Italy / Portugal / Spain.
Political position of the largest party in each European country
(map by try.balkan/instagram) Source: OnlMaps
Eurozone inflation cooled more than expected, putting 2% target in sight:
Headline CPI rose 2.4% YoY in November down from 2.9% in October. Core CPI, which excludes volatile components like fuel & food, moderated for a 4th month to 3.6% from 4.2% in October. Markets are now pricing 1st ECB rate cut to take place at the April meeting. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
ECB QT continues. ECB balance sheet back <€7tn, shrank by €5.3bn to €6,996bn, lowest since Jan2021
Total assets now equal to 50% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 28% & BoJ's 128%. And Lagarde has warned that the timeline for ending PEPP reinvestments and so QT could be accelerated. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
During 25 years before joining the Euro Italian Lira lost 83% against Deutsche Mark. Last 25 years they have been pegged. How much value would the Lira have lost against Deutsche Mark without the peg?
Source: Bloomberg, Michel A.Arouet
French and German economies are slumping
Source: Bloomberg
Far-right lawmaker Geert Wilders, who wants a referendum on leaving the EU, is on course to win the most votes in parliamentary elections in the Netherlands
However, according to an exit poll, Wilders’s Freedom Party is projected to win 35 seats, substantially less than the 76 required to secure an outright majority. Source: FT
Wine production reached 16.1 billion (bn) litres in the EU in 2022. Top producers:
1) Italy (5.0 bn litres) 2) Spain (5.0 bn litres) 3) France (3.4 bn litres) Source: EU Eurostat
