Syz the moment

BOND AUCTION FOR THE US 20-YEAR TREASURIES WAS UGLY Because of the lack of bidders…it caused the 20-year bond yield to surge to 5.1%. Stock markets didn't like it Source: amit @amitisinvesting

Source: Trend Spider

➡️ Credit markets are currently pricing 6 notches of downgrades for US sovereign credit rating ‼️ "Using credit default swaps pricing as an input, S&P Global's Capital IQ model puts the U.S. sovereign credit rating 6 notches lower than its current grade - all the way down to BBB+ - barely clinging to investment grade status, never mind AAA." Source: @dailychartbook, Mike Dolan - Reuter

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Trump 2.0 and the next administrations are never going to become fiscally responsible by cutting spending at the risk of sending the economy into a recession. 🎯 They have no other choice than devaluing the real value of your bonds. Consequence is loss of purchasing power / money debasement for those stuck in cash and bonds. What are the options available to investors / savers? 1) Spend their money now 2) Invest into high quality stocks because they’re the ones receiving all this excess spending 3) Accumulate store of values

A slump in Japanese bonds worsened Tuesday after the weakest demand at a government debt auction in more than a decade highlighted worries over the central bank’s retreat from the market. The rout drove up the 20-year yield by about 15 basis points to the highest since 2000, while the yield on 30-year bonds climbed to the most since that maturity was first sold in 1999. Yields on the 40-year tenor rose to a record high in a sign of nervousness ahead of a sale of that debt next week. The surge in yields underscores structural challenges particular to Japan’s debt market, along with the concerns of bond investors globally about the risks posed by rising government spending. Key Japanese buyers like life insurers aren’t stepping in to fill the gap as the central bank scales back its purchases of the nation’s bonds. Meanwhile, the Prime Minister’s comparison of his own nation’s fiscal position to that of Greece this week sharpened the focus on Japan’s huge debt burden. The result is that Japan’s bond curve is the steepest among major economies, even as yields globally are being driven higher, including for US Treasuries.

As shown below, US CDS (red line) barely moved on the news. And any way, investors are more focus on the green line (global trade policy uncertainty) than anything else. Source: zerohedge

The Bank of Japan owns a whopping 52% of its domestic government bond market. Since July, the BoJ has been gradually reducing the size of its holdings. The estimated value of Japan's government debt market is $7.8 TRILLION, world's 3rd largest. Source: Global Markets Investor, Bloomberg