Nobody can predict at the moment how the Middle East situation will unfold, but if history is a guide market impacts of geopolitical scares are usually short lived
Will it be different this time? Source: Michel A.Arouet
Bloomberg analysis on war potential economic and market impacts
Source: Bloomberg
Friendshoring / nearshoring is indeed happening...After nearly 20 years, the US is once again importing more from Mexico than China
Source: Bespoke
Trade recession across Asia? China just reported a deeper-than-forecast drop in exports
China said Tuesday that exports fell by 14.5% in July from a year ago, while imports dropped by 12.4% in U.S. dollar terms. That’s worse than what analysts had expected. A Reuters poll predicted a 12.5% decline in exports in July from a year ago, in U.S. dollar terms. Imports were expected to have dropped by 5% during that time, according to the poll. This drop is consistent with weakness just about everywhere in the region. Source: David Ingles, CNBC, Bloomberg
Most of Africa is a no fly zone right now
Source: financelot
Niger was one of the few democracies left in the Sahel belt which stretches across the continent
But now that the army has seized power, there are concerns over what this means for the troubled region. Indeed, from Mali in the west to Sudan in the east, a whole swathe of Africa is now run by the military. Niger's President Mohamed Bazoum - a key Western ally in the fight against Islamist militants - was defiant after soldiers announced a coup on Wednesday. But he has been detained, the army chief has backed military rule, and it isn't clear who is really in charge. Former colonial power France and the US have military bases in the uranium-rich country, and both were quick to condemn the coup (1/3 of uranium used by France comes from Niger...) There are also concerns that Niger's new leadership could move away from its Western allies and closer to Russia. If it does, it would follow the path of two of its neighbours - Burkina Faso and Mali - which have both pivoted towards Moscow since recent military coups of their own. Source: Reuters, image by FT
