Here's the most shocking part of Q1 us GDP numbers...
Source: www.zerohedge.com
Nice relative price chart by Jay R. Ligon at TheeDisruptor
The 7 C's (Cattle, Corn, Crude, Cocoa, Cotton, Copper, Coffee) vs Consumer Discretionary $XLY Why? It is a clear measure of the inelastic demand for commodities (the ultimate staples) versus elastic demand of discretionaries. Plus we can eye inflation at work and the strength of commodities.
Money debasement
Source: CNBC
The bonds market's inflation expectations just hit new 52-week highs.
Commodities are following the trend. Source: J-C Parets
Economic Growth Forecasts for G7 and BRICS Countries in 2024 🗺️
Source: Visual Capitalist
WELCOME TO FOMC WEEK. Here's what's happening:
In the US: ◦ April ADP employment ◦ April ISM manufacturing ◦ March Job openings ◦ FOMC interest rate decision ◦ Fed Chair Powell press conference ◦ April employment rate ◦ $AAPL, $AMZN, $LLY, $MA, $KO, $AMD, $MCD, $QCOM earnings Rest of the world: ◦ In Europe, the focus will be on April CPI prints as well as the Q1 GDP reports. ◦ The latest economic activity and labour market indicators will also be in focus in Japan, and PMIs are due in China. Source: Trend spider
Fed Cut Probability Update - Jim Bianco (Bianco Research)
- May 1 FOMC meeting (green) less than 50% (meaning no move) - June 12 FOMC meeting (blue) less than 50% (meaning no move) - July 31 FOMC meeting (red) less than 50% (meaning no move) - September 18 FOMC meeting (orange) less than 60% (since it is 5 months away, effectively a coin-toss) After this, the next FOMC meeting is Thursday, November 7, two days after the election.
what a journey...
Source chart: Bloomberg
