In case you were wondering why European growth seemed abnormally strong in Q1.
Source: BCA
US Federal Government Spending as % of GDP...
1950s: 17% 1960s: 18% 1970s: 21% 1980s: 22% 1990s: 21% 2000s: 20% 2010s: 23% 2020s: 27% Source: Charlie Bilello
➡️ Our Global M2 proxy continues to point to supportive liquidity dynamics for risk assets in the weeks ahead.
➡️ The link between our Global M2 proxy and the Bitcoin continues to hold remarkably well and to point to still more short-term upside potential for the BTC. ➡️ Interestingly, our Global M2 proxy suggests a pause in the upward trend for Equities and Bitcoin in the second half of June (taking into account the 10-week lag). But the recent resuming of the M2 upward trend, if extended, would point to a resuming of positive market dynamic for July. NB: This is NOT an investment recommendation. Liquidity is one among the numerous indicators that need to be considered Source: Syz Research
Japan’s CPI pickup, rice price surge raise pressure on Ishiba
Bloomberg
Poland standard of living will surpass Japan this year.
Free market, hard work and entrepreneurial spirit do pay off. Congratulations Poland.
The Conference Board Leading Economic Index FELL to the lowest level in 11 YEARS.
The drawdown since the peak has been 17.3%, the biggest since the Great Financial Crisis. Such a drop has never been seen outside of recessions and is higher than in 2001. Source: Bloomberg, Liz Ann Sonders, Global Markets Investor
‼️ Let's be realistic.
Trump 2.0 and the next administrations are never going to become fiscally responsible by cutting spending at the risk of sending the economy into a recession. 🎯 They have no other choice than devaluing the real value of your bonds. Consequence is loss of purchasing power / money debasement for those stuck in cash and bonds. What are the options available to investors / savers? 1) Spend their money now 2) Invest into high quality stocks because they’re the ones receiving all this excess spending 3) Accumulate store of values
In Germany, Producer price deflation is picking up speed.
Producer Price Index (PPI) dropped by 0.9% YoY, driven mainly by a strong Euro and possibly early impact of US tariffs. PPI is an important leading indicator for consumer inflation, so this drop could signal further cooling in prices. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
