It has been a very quiet year... Can we expect the same in 2025???
Source: Asym 50, RBC
YTD returns
Source: IceCap
Returns since election...
Dogecoin: +120% Coinbase: +65% Tesla: +31% Bitcoin: +28% Banks: +11% Small Caps: +5.9% S&P 500: +3.5% US Dollar: +2.5% --- Long-Term Treasuries: -2.2% International Stocks: -2.9% Gold: -5.3% Oil: -5.4% China: -7.1% Trump Media: -10% Volatility: -28%
FLOWMAGEDON... This is absolutely insane:
1. Tesla, $TSLA, has added $450 billion in 1 month 2. Bitcoin has added $1 trillion over the last 12 months 3. The S&P 500 has added $15 trillion over the last 13 months 4. Gold has added $4.5 trillion over the last 12 months 5. Nvidia, $NVDA, has added $2.4 trillion over the last 12 months 6. The Magnificent 7 have added $9 trillion over the last 4 years We are witnessing one of the greatest runs in stock market history.
🚨MARKET SPECULATION LEVEL HAS RARELY BEEN GREATER🚨
Retail traders' activity share in the options market SPIKED to 20% last week, the highest level ever recorded. Retail is piling into options at a much faster pace than during the 2020 retail trading bonanza. Source: Global Markets Investor, JP Morgan Quant
Here's how the stock market has performed following the last 11 Presidential elections
Source: Evan @StockMKTNewz
US Election Cheat sheet
Source: Marc Lehman @markflowchatter
📢 Here's the initial stock market reaction Trump victory:
𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗲𝘅𝗲𝘀 S&P 500: +2.1% $SPX $SPY Dow 30: +2.6% $DJI Nasdaq 100: +1.8% $NDX $QQQ Russell 2000: +5.9% $RUT 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗱𝗼𝘄𝗻 👎 Solar Renewable Energy Electric Vehicles (excl. Tesla) Chinese stocks Cannabis 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝘂𝗽 👍 Banks Technology Cryptocurrencies Small caps Most other sectors Source. The Future Investors
