As shown by Jeroen Blokland >>> The Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF is down 48% since April 2020.
This means investors have realized a negative return of 15% annually on long-duration bonds over the last four years. Moreover, this 'return' was realized with structurally higher volatility and, on average, a positive correlation with stocks. It also means the market for long-duration bonds has to double(!) to erase losses. Source: Jeroen Blokland
Reversion to the meme...
Source: Charlie Bilello
Healthy gains heading into May have historically been a good signal of a positive year for stocks.
Since 1982, when the stock market was higher on the year heading into May, it went on to post a full-year gain roughly 90% of the time. In that period, 1987, 2011 and 2015 were the only years in which the market was higher from January to April but finished the year lower.1 There were nine years in which the year-to-date increase heading into May was in the 6.5%–9.5% range, comparable to 2024’s 8% year-to-date gain. In those instances, the stock market went on to post an average full-year increase of 13%. Source: Edward Jones
Visualizing the growth of $100, by asset class returns across U.S. equities, bonds, real estate, gold and cash since 1970.
source : visual capitalist
Returns on different types of luxury goods have ranged from 8% to 280% over the last 10 years, compared to 158.1% for the S&P 500.
However , only one has outperformed the S&P 500 in terms of 10-year returns: Rare whiskey🥃, boasting an impressive 280% return. Source: Genuine Impact
With the exception of Tesla (-25%), the Magnificent 7 stocks are off to a big start in 2024 with Nvidia (+26%) once again leading the way
Source: Charlie Bilello
Fortune favors the patient investor. NASDAQ Returns By Year Since Inception
by Quartr
Asset Class Returns since 2011...
Source: Charlie Bilello
