LVMH on Monday shared its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, revealing that sales fell 3% to €20.3 billion EUR in the three months ending March 31.
Per Reuters, the results were well below analysts’ expectations of 2% growth, as the conglomerate struggles to buoy amid the ongoing luxury slowdown. The group’s key fashion and leather goods division, which houses heavyweight names like Louis Vuitton, LOEWE, Dior, and Fendi, saw sales fall 5%. Notably, analysts forecasted a 0.55% decline in the category, which makes up 75% of LVMH’s overall profit. Elsewhere, the company’s wine and spirits division saw sales decline by 9%, while perfume and cosmetics both dropped by 1%. Watches and jewelry, meanwhile, remained constant. The cause of such sluggish numbers is one part caused by post-pandemic spending fatigue, another the product of high inflation rates, and a third the product of a slowing economy, mounting debt crisis, and real estate crash in China, a target market for high-end labels. In the US, President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements have eliminated any hopes that American shoppers would spend more on luxury this year. Source: Quartr, Hypebeast
Well said by Peter Mallouk
"It’s been a rough year so far for US equity markets, but we’ve been through much worse in the past and gotten through it. We’ll get through this as well. As Abraham Lincoln once said: This, too, shall pass.”
The story of yesterday >>>
US 10 year yields are back to Liberation Day while stocks are 10% lower...Are US Treasuries losing their safe have status? Or was it related to China dumping more treasuries as part of their retaliation plan? As Goldman's Mike Washington writes, there were lot of client questions on what is behind the higher yields; GS rates specialist Mike Cassell writes, “A lot of supply coming up in 10s and 30s later this week...and we are seeing increasing numbers of clients worried about stagflation + fiscal expansion+ lack of sponsorship of issuance. On the stagflation note, we had FOMC Kugler out earlier today saying inflation more an urgent issue than growth...this is a toxic mix if so. Flow wise we have seen HF paying the belly in swap and large selloff/steepening on futures flows.” And of course, China may well be selling in retaliation to Trump's tariffs; we'll know soon enough. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Has a new secular BEAR MARKET begun in the US?
The US share in the global stock market has fallen 3-4 percentage points since its November 2024 peak of 67%. This comes as the US has significantly underperformed other markets this year. Many investors are not ready for this.. Source: BofA, Global Markets Investor
US small caps russell 2000 is officially in bear market
First time since 2022
The S&P500 had yesterday its worst day since 2020
Source: Blossom @meetblossomapp
US smallcaps #Russell2000 is officially in bear market
First time since 2022
The $VIX ended the day at 30, its highest close since August 5, 2024.
Fear is on the rise and stocks are on sale, providing more opportunities for long-term investors. Source: Charlie Bilello
