The gap between the SPX and the inverted US 10-year yield is getting very wide. The obvious question is how far the 10-year can move before it starts spilling over into equities.
Source: TME
GoPro just surged nearly 138% in five days—and action cameras are no longer the main story.
The company plans to merge with optical photonics specialist Starman Optical in a deal valued at approximately $285 million. GoPro shareholders are expected to receive around $1.14 per share in cash while retaining roughly 10% of the combined company. The strategic pivot is dramatic: From consumer cameras to AI data centers, defense, aerospace and government infrastructure. Why does it matter? AI data centers rely on optical transceivers to move enormous volumes of data between thousands of GPUs, servers and storage systems. As AI workloads scale, high-speed connectivity is becoming a critical bottleneck—and a major investment opportunity. Investors are now betting that this transaction could transform GoPro into an AI infrastructure play. The stock jumped 46% in one session and another 78% in premarket trading. A spectacular repricing—but the deal still requires shareholder and regulatory approval. Source: Milk Road AI
Is the dichotomy between the Nasdaq 100 Index (in green) and the Advance-Decline line (in white) something to be worried about?
Source: Bloomberg, RBC
Here is how Apple $AAPL has performed each year since Tim Cook became CEO of the company:
2011: +25.6% 🟢 2012: +32.6%🟢 2013: +8.1%🟢 2014: +40.6%🟢 2015: -3% 🔴 2016: +12.5%🟢 2017: +48.5%🟢 2018: -5.4% 🔴 2019: +89%🟢 2020: +82.3%🟢 2021: +34.7%🟢 2022: -26.4%🔴 2023: +49%🟢 2024: +30.7%🟢 2025: +9.1%🟢 2026*: +17.9% (so far) 🟢 Source: WOLF
JPMorgan’s trading desk is turning tactically cautious after accurately navigating several of 2026’s major market inflection points.
The message is not outright bearish: economic growth and earnings remain resilient. But the next two to three weeks could be volatile and directionless. Six risks stand out: September is now a live Fed meeting, with markets pricing a higher probability of a rate hike. Investor positioning offers no clear directional signal. Heavy post-Labor Day bond issuance could widen credit spreads. September is historically the S&P 500’s weakest month. Momentum strategies are experiencing an unusually severe unwind. Even strong Broadcom earnings may fail to revive AI and semiconductor stocks. The main catalysts are payrolls, CPI, oil prices and geopolitical developments. JPMorgan’s conclusion: reduce net-long exposure and consider more market-neutral positioning. This is not a call for a bear market. It is a warning that strong fundamentals may not prevent a choppy September—particularly beneath the index level. Source: zerohedge
$NVDA now trades under 10x GS’s updated 2028 EPS estimates, per GS’s Peter Callahan
Chart below is the relative performance of Nvidia relative to the broader semiconductors SOX index. Source: Bloomberg, GS, Negligible capital on X
Only 25% of large-cap managers are beating the S&P 500 this year.
Source. Bloomberg
Stocks are now outperforming Bonds over the last 10 years by the largest margin in 66 years
Source: Topdown Charts, LSEG
