In case you missed it...
Prices paid component in Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index spiked in August... highest since February 2023. Source: Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon
➡️ Trump administration military leaders are “thinking about” whether the U.S. should acquire equity stakes in top defense contractors, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said.
➡️ Lockheed Martin, which makes most of its revenue from federal contracts, is “basically an arm of the U.S. government,” he said. ➡️ Lutnick’s remarks on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” came days after the U.S. government acquired 10% of Intel stock in a roughly $9 billion deal. Source: CNBC
So Lisa Cook is fighting Trump by using his own rules
1) Attack; 2) Deny: 3) Never Show Defeat Will it work?
Has the dollar bottomed?
An interesting regularity is emerging for the Dollar. Payrolls revisions (Aug 1), CPI (Aug 12) and Powell's Jackson Hole speech drag the Dollar down, but each low after one of these hits is higher than the one before and the Dollar then resumes its rise. Source: Robin Brooks
"The disappointment is that Mr. Powell and the Fed ignored the need for larger changes at the central bank."
This and the passage below are from the Wall Street Journal's editorial on Federal Reserve Chair Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Source: WSJ, Mo El Erian on X
⚠️US government spending is constantly rising
Social benefits now reflect 46% of all US government expenditures, an all-time high, excluding the 2020-2021 crisis. Social Security alone is accounting for 15.4%. This will only rise further as the US population is aging. Source: Global Markets Investor
Nancy Pelosi's stock portfolio
Source: Sam Badawi @samsolid57, Carbon Finance
September rate cut odds have plunged to 57% on Polymarket over the past few days—did Powell’s speech leak?
Source: Tom @TradingThomas3
