Syz the moment

“Data available to date suggest that the level of non-farm payrolls will be revised down materially.” On Sept 9, that’s exactly what happened: -911,000 jobs erased. ➡️ The question now is was this worse than he expected, and does it warrant a 25 or 50 bps cut? Source: StockMarket.news

Source: @ByCoinvo

He sees it as a real-time “Mar-a-Lago Accord" (i.e dollar devaluation). Here's why: "The strategy of letting global yields rise relative to US yields is central to weakening the dollar. What some see as a market shift might be a policy, a clear move toward dollar devaluation. The implications extend further, especially for emerging markets, which stand to benefit significantly from this environment". Your view? Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

➡️ John DiFucci from Guggenheim Securities said he was “blown away.” TD Cowen’s Derrick Wood called it a “momentous quarter.” And Brad Zelnick of Deutsche Bank said, “We’re all kind of in shock, in a very good way.” ➡️ That’s how the analysts opened their comments and questions during Oracle’s quarterly earnings call on Tuesday, as the company’s stock price was in the midst of a 28% after-hours rally. The software vendor had just reported an earnings and revenue miss, but nobody was paying attention to that. ➡️ Wall Street was singularly focused on Oracle’s forward-looking numbers and a massive growth trajectory that the company now sees thanks to its booming cloud infrastructure business and a host of new artificial intelligence deals. ➡️ “There’s no better evidence of a seismic shift happening in computing than these results that you just put up,” Zelnick said on the earnings call. ➡️ Oracle now sees cloud infrastructure revenue climbing to $144 billion over the next four years, up from $18 billion this fiscal year. Source: CNBC

iPhone 17 Air, AirPods Pro 3, Apple Watch Series 11 and more, a summary by CNBC 👇

This is sending shares in the US database company up 25 per cent to a record high in after-hours trading. The company’s remaining performance obligations business, it has booked that will feed through into future revenue leapt to $455bn, up from only $138bn three months ago. Safra Catz, chief executive, called it an “astonishing quarter” that had included Oracle signing “four multibillion-dollar contracts with three different customers” in the latest three months. Wall Street had been primed for a leap in bookings following the disclosure of a new $30bn-a-year contract the company signed in July, but had not expected the overall backlog to grow as fast. $ORCL Oracle Q1 FY26 (August quarter). • RPO +359% Y/Y to $455B. • Cloud revenue +28% Y/Y to $7.2B. • Revenue +12% Y/Y to $14.9B ($0.1B miss). • Non-GAAP EPS $1.47 ($0.01 miss). Source: FT, CNBC

That's -229k below consensus -682k and exceeds last year's -818k revision. Two years, 1.7 million phantom jobs erased. The labor market has been far weaker than anyone realized. Source: Matt Cooper @HedgeyeFins

Wall Street is opening the door to individuals via platforms like Robinhood & SoFi. Bullish’s $1.1B IPO: 20% went to retail, stock jumped +143% on debut. Upcoming deals (Gemini Space Station, Figure, Via) are also reserving retail allocations. With retail now 20%+ of US equity trading, IPOs are no longer just for institutions. Source : Bloomberg