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The market has NO FEAR. Extremely little risk priced for the FOMC meeting.
Chart shows SPX 1 week implied volatility skew within one week of FOMC meetings. Source: TME, Nomura
This is the first time the MOVE index has reached 200 with a VIX index below 40!
It is very rare that the volatility of the Treasury bond market (MOVE Index) is much higher than the volatility of the equity market (VIX Index)! The current level of the MOVE index should be accompanied by a VIX above 30 at least! How long will this dichotomy last? Source : Macrobond
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