WHEN SPACEX IPOs, THESE ARE THE STOCKS THE MARKET WILL CHASE NEX
Source: Justin Banks
The S&P 500's CAPE Ratio has moved up to 40, its highest level since 2000 and now above 99% of historical valuations. $SPX
Source: Charlie Bilello
Top 10 countries by gold reserves:
Source: Wall St Engine
The United States has a long track record of outlasting its rivals. The Soviet Union collapsed.
Japan, once predicted in the 1980s to eclipse the American economy, is now significantly smaller. China now appears to be on a similar trajectory. In 2021, China’s GDP had risen to 76% of that of the United States, and many analysts believed it would surpass the U.S. before 2030. That expectation has since unraveled. By 2024, the U.S. economy stood at $29.2 trillion compared to China’s $18.9 trillion—a gap that has widened for three consecutive years. Meanwhile, China’s working-age population is declining, its fertility rate has dropped to around 1.0—well below replacement level—and there is little immigration to offset the demographic decline. Yet America benefits from believing it faces a formidable rival. The belief is what keeps it competing. Source: Martin Varsavsky
Betting odds of 1/2 on Starmer leaving office this year
Is the Gilt market facing another crisis? Source: Winston Smith
The power of the AI trade...
While Taiwan’s $977 billion economy is less than a quarter of the UK’s $4.3 trillion, last week Taiwan overtook the UK in stock market capitalization at $4.14 trillion, making it the world’s seventh largest, according to data compiled by Bloomberg showing the combined value of companies with a primary listing on the island. The UK’s market was valued at around $4.09 trillion. Source: Bloomberg, Neil Sethi
Looking for a "Anthropic proxy"?
It seems that SK Telecom ($SKM) offers stronger exposure to Anthropic than Zoom ($ZM) due to a larger and more valuable stake. SKM owns ~1.07% versus ZM’s ~0.6%, making its holding worth about $8.6B vs. $4.8B at an $800B valuation. As a result, Anthropic represents a much bigger portion of SKM’s valuation. Investors effectively get more Anthropic exposure per share with SKM, while its core business appears undervalued. Despite recent gains, SKM is still seen as a better proxy for Anthropic ahead of a potential IPO. Source: Negligible Capital
The US blockade of the blockade seems to work rather well for the US.
It's substantially reduced Iran's oil exports (and inflow of hard currency), seized an Iranian ship and threatened secondary sanctions on Chinese banks that deal in Iranian oil. Meanwhile, oil prices are down from their highs. And the US is exporting record volume of il & gas. Kudos! Source: Robin Brooks
