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Wow. The average S&P500 stock has been on average 4.5x as volatile as the broader index!
Chart: Goldman Sachs Source: Markets & Mayhem
BREAKING: The CBO has raised the US government's deficit forecast for Fiscal Year 2024 from $1.5 trillion to $1.9 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP.
This would be the highest deficit since 2021 when the deficit hit $2.8 trillion in response to pandemic lockdowns. By 2034, the deficit is expected to reach $2.9 trillion or 6.9% of GDP, totaling a whopping $22.1 trillion over the 2025-2034 period. The CBO projection also assumes that net interest will reflect over 50% of the budget deficit over the next decade. These numbers all assume no recessions and lower interest rates. What happens if rate cuts are delayed and a recession hits? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, CBO
$NVDA is now down 13% since Jim Cramer said "Nvidia, so far, so good"
Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Global freight container rates still moving higher and year/year increase is now up to +233%
Source: Bloomberg, Kevin Gordon on X
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