Credit card stocks down big based on Citrini Research says AI agents will eventually transact on Stablecoin payment rails and bypass interchange.
Visa -4.4% Mastercard -6.3% American Express -7.9% Capital One -8.0% Source: Bearly AI @bearlyai
The Fwd P/E of the Tech sector is now at PAR with Consumer Staples.
In other words, the market is now valuing Tech at the same multiple as boring/slow growth Staples companies. That has only happened 3 times in the last 7 years: COVID, the 2022 Bear Market, and Liberation Day. Source: David Marlin
Here’s a mental framework by InvestingVisual on the software universe.
The market keeps selling off high quality names. Not all software is created equal, but the market is treating it like that. Some buying opportunities?
Yesterday, rising anxiety over the impact of AI disruption on multiple sectors resurfaced
exacerbated by a note from Citrini Research that was passed around getting over 20mm views, saying nothing new but re-highlighting the potential impact on jobs and tech firms in the next few years... “The sole intent of this piece is modeling a scenario that’s been relatively underexplored,” a preface to the article, which was published Sunday, said. “Hopefully, reading this leaves you more prepared for potential left tail risks as AI makes the economy increasingly weird.” Investors, once again, dumped shares of any company seen at the slightest risk of being displaced which lead Goldman's AI-at-Risk basket fell to its lowest since Nov 2016... Since: Bloomberg, zerohedge
Commercials are extremely Net-Short Bitcoin.
Large Speculators are extremely Net-Long. Prior cases marked bottoming processes for Bitcoin $BTC Will it be the case this time? Source: Subu trade
The future of IT is AUTONOMOUS.
Source: Vala Afshar @ValaAfshar
Looking for some squeeze opportunities?
Here are the highest short interest stocks with a market cap of more than $25 billion. Top five are $MSTR, $CHTR, $CRWV, $CVOIN and $KMB Source: Markets & Mayhem @Mayhem4Markets Goldman Sachs
After a landmark Supreme Court ruling struck down previous trade policies, the new 15% global blanket tariff is officially set to go live this Tuesday.
But the data reveals a massive irony that most people are missing. According to new analysis from Global Trade Alert, the very countries frequently singled out for criticism are set to see their average tariff rates drop the most. The Winners (The Surprise): Brazil: Enjoying a massive 13.6% reduction in average tariff rates. China: Seeing a 7.1% reduction. Vietnam, Thailand, & Malaysia: Set to benefit significantly as previous specific levies are replaced by the blanket rate. The Losers (The Allies): Traditional US allies—including the UK, EU, and Japan—are bracing for the biggest hit. They are moving from lower historical rates straight into the 15% line of fire. The Bottom Line: US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer is holding firm, stating the "urgency of the situation" demanded the jump from 10% to 15%. While this new regime is only valid for 150 days without Congressional approval, the message to global markets is clear: Volatility is the new constant. Source: FT
