The UAE's ascent.
Do you know that the UAE's stock markets have a larger market capitalization than Brazil's or Spain's? Do you also know that the UAE's IPOs have been 2nd worldwide in raising capital? Source: Ryan Lemand, PhD, Bloomberg
WELCOME TO FOMC WEEK. Here's what's happening:
In the US: ◦ April ADP employment ◦ April ISM manufacturing ◦ March Job openings ◦ FOMC interest rate decision ◦ Fed Chair Powell press conference ◦ April employment rate ◦ $AAPL, $AMZN, $LLY, $MA, $KO, $AMD, $MCD, $QCOM earnings Rest of the world: ◦ In Europe, the focus will be on April CPI prints as well as the Q1 GDP reports. ◦ The latest economic activity and labour market indicators will also be in focus in Japan, and PMIs are due in China. Source: Trend spider
Here's how Google $GOOGL makes its money
Source: Chartr
Copper hits $10,000 for the first time in 2 years as speculation builds that the world’s mines will struggle to meet a coming wave of demand from green industries.
BlackRock, Trafigura see supply shortfalls unless prices gain. This week, Mining giant BHP Billiton has offered to buy rival Anglo American (ex-its South African iron ore and platinum assets) for USD 39 bn. According to Bloomberg, if the deal proves successful, “BHP-Anglo could control 11% of the mined copper supply”. This deal highlights copper’s dominance as the primary metal in the energy transition. Source: Bloomberg
AI Boom’s Secret Winners? The Companies Expected to Power It
The AI boom is set to drive a rally in what's traditionally the most boring corner of the stock market: utilities. Utilities to see booming demand as more data centers go online. Power consumption will increase massively. Goldman's Power Up basket has soared 28% and the Data Center Equipment basket is up more than 18%. Source: Blomberg, HolgerZ
Fed Cut Probability Update - Jim Bianco (Bianco Research)
- May 1 FOMC meeting (green) less than 50% (meaning no move) - June 12 FOMC meeting (blue) less than 50% (meaning no move) - July 31 FOMC meeting (red) less than 50% (meaning no move) - September 18 FOMC meeting (orange) less than 60% (since it is 5 months away, effectively a coin-toss) After this, the next FOMC meeting is Thursday, November 7, two days after the election.
Bonds rally as the Fed’s preferred inflation metric cam out not as bad as feared.
PCE deflator rose to 2.7% in March from 2.5% in Feb vs 2.6% expected. Core PCE, the Fed's preferred measure of underlying price pressures, remained at 2.8%, compared with an anticipated fall to 2.7%. First full rate cut is now priced for November. Note that we now have CPI, PPI and PCE inflation RISING for 2 straight months. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
China is buying/importing gold like there is no tomorrow
Source: Willem Middelkoop
