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The German investment bank said it sees a scenario where central banks continue to increase their gold holdings as a financial safety net to protect themselves from Western sanctions.
These central banks have added over 225 million ounces to their reserves since the 2008 financial crisis, while their holdings of US dollars have fallen from a peak of over 60% in the early 2000s to about 40% today. Gold’s share of global central bank reserves could reach 40%, up from 30% currently, the bank predicts. At that allocation, Deutsche Bank ran a simulation that projects gold prices to hit $8,000 an ounce within five years, a near 80% rise on current levels. Source: Wall Street Mav
S&P is considering rule changes that would let newly public companies join its indexes faster with Nasdaq weighing a similar move.
The shift could pull index demand forward for mega IPOs like SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic & Databricks. Current requirements for S&P 500 inclusion include the following, including positive GAAP earnings for the last 4 quarters AND the most recent quarter must also be positive, something SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic all definitely do not have currently. Source: Negligible Capital, Bloomberg Intelligence
⚠️ CHINA JUST MADE IT ILLEGAL TO FIRE EMPLOYEES AND REPLACE THEM WITH AI.
China’s courts have ruled that companies cannot fire or penalize employees simply because AI can replace their work. In two cases, employers who cut pay or terminated workers due to AI adoption were found to have acted illegally. The courts stated AI adoption is a voluntary business choice, so companies must retrain, reassign, or support workers instead of shifting the burden onto them. This contrasts with global trends, where over 1.5 million jobs have been cut since 2020, many due to AI. Major firms like Amazon, Block, and Meta have reduced staff to fund AI investments. Studies warn AI could replace significant portions of the workforce, reducing consumer spending. Economists highlight a risk: widespread layoffs shrink demand, creating a self-destructive cycle where productivity rises but consumers lack income. China’s approach aims to prevent this by protecting workers’ earnings and sustaining economic demand.
SPX spent nearly two weeks consolidating above the major breakout level and is now pushing higher again.
Frustration is building as dip buyers never really got a chance to step in. Source: TME
Apple issued a better-than-expected revenue forecast for the current period after beating on sales and earnings in the fiscal second quarter.
The stock rose about 3% in extended trading. Sales for iPhones missed estimates for the second time in three quarters, the only significant number that came up short of expectations in Thursday’s report. Revenue climbed 17% from $95.4 billion a year earlier, Apple said. It was the first time the company faced Wall Street since the announcement last week that Tim Cook will be stepping down as CEO after 15 years on the job. Apple said on the earnings call that revenue in the June quarter will increase between 14% and 17% from a year earlier. Analysts were expecting growth of 9.5% to $103 billion, according to LSEG. The company’s board authorized an additional $100 billion in stock repurchases and declared a cash dividend of 27 cents per share, up 4%. Sales of iPhones rose 22% in the quarter from a year earlier. Like other consumer electronics companies and device makers, Apple faces supply chain constraints, largely due to the global memory shortage that’s being driven by soaring artificial intelligence demand. Meta and Microsoft said Wednesday that higher memory prices contributed to their increased capital expenditures forecasts for the year. Cook said on the earnings call that the iPhone 17 is now the “most popular lineup in our history” and noted that overall revenue beat guidance “despite supply constraints.” CFO Kevan Parekh said the company faced supply constraints on iPhones and Macs. $AAPL Apple Q2 FY26 (March quarter): 📱 Products +17% Y/Y to $80.2B. 💳 Services +16% Y/Y to $31.0B. • Revenue +17% Y/Y to $111.2B ($1.6B beat). • Operating margin 32% (+1pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.01 ($0.07 beat). APPLE $AAPL GUIDE June Quarter Guide: 🔹 Revenue: Expected to grow +14% to +17% YoY (Est. +9.1%) 🟢 - “best view of constrained supply” 🔹 Services: Expected to grow YoY at a rate similar to March quarter, excluding FX tailwinds 🔹 Gross Margin: 47.5%-48.5% Other Notes: 🔹 iPad faces a difficult compare from the A16-powered iPad launch in the prior year 🔹 March quarter FX was a 2.5-point tailwind to total company growth, with services slightly more favorable Commentary: 🔸 “We’re providing assumes that global tariff rates, policies and their application remain in effect as of this call, and the global macroeconomic outlook does not worsen from today.” Source: WOLF, CNBC
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