We've officially reached the "brutal" stage in the global bond market sell-off. The 10y10y forward yield (red) is making new highs all over the place.
Japan's 10y10y forward has risen 30 basis points in just a few days. Even Swiss 10y10y forward is rising. Source: Robin Brooks
President Trump called on AI companies to build, bring, or buy 100% of the energy needed for their data centers as part of his “Ratepayer Protection Pledge.”
Monthly tokens processed across Google surfaces: May 2024: 9.7T May 2025: ~480T May 2026: 3.2Q+ That is 7x Y/Y growth. Source: Wall St Engine
GOOGLE JUST SHOWED HOW INSANE AI DEMAND HAS GOTTEN
Monthly tokens processed across Google surfaces: May 2024: 9.7T May 2025: ~480T May 2026: 3.2Q+ That is 7x Y/Y growth. Source: Wall St Engine
Stop using Claude like it's 2024.
Here are the 19 rules I follow when I use Claude: Source: AI evolution
Here's why soaring yields do matter. Annual US interest expense is currently $1.3 trillion.
For context, the largest US government outlay is Social Security. It is $1.6 trillion. Source: zerohedge
According to BofA fund manager survey, the biggest risk to stocks is a "second wave" of inflation.
Source: BofA
The "ultimate" hedge?
Gold followed the surge in Japanese rates throughout 2025. Gold started the year by materially overshooting the Japan 10-year, but we have since seen the Japanese long end explode higher and overshoot gold instead. Could this divergence finally trigger another squeeze higher in gold? Source: TME, LSEG
President Trump says serious negotiations with Iran are now taking place.
He has called off a planned military attack on Iran that was scheduled for tomorrow after the leaders of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE personally asked him to pause, telling him a deal is within reach. Trump has ordered the military to be ready to launch a full scale attack on a moment's notice if an acceptable deal is not reached and The deal must include no nuclear weapons for Iran. Source: Bull Theory
