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US supercore CPI is negative MoM for the 2nd month in a row
zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Gold >2400 as markets believe lower than expected CPI report is opening the door to rate cuts by the FED starting in September.
Source: www.zerohedge.com
BREAKING: Odds of a Fed rate cut by September 2024 skyrocket to 83% after June CPI inflation, according to Kalshi.
June 2024 marked the first NEGATIVE month-over-month inflation print since May 2020. Headline inflation is now at a 12-month low and 100 basis points away from the Fed's 2% target. Prior to the CPI inflation report today, prediction markets saw a 67% chance of rate cuts by September. Exactly 1 year ago, the Fed stopped raising interest rates. Does the Fed have the green light to cut rates? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
We're in a slow-motion melt-up according to Ed Yardeni
Source: Business Insider
🚨 BREAKING NEWS: US CPI for June just came in at -0.1% MoM below expectations of 0.1% MoM
US CPI for June just came in at +3% YoY below expectations of +3.4% YoY Core CPI inflation fell to 3.3%, below expectations of 3.4%. This marks the 39th consecutive month with inflation at or above 3%. It's also the 3rd straight month with declining CPI inflation. Looks like a September rate cut is coming. Source: Jesse Cohen
US CPI estimates by firm
TD Securities: 3.0% JP Morgan: 3.1% Wells Fargo: 3.1% Citadel: 3.1% Barclays: 3.1% CitiGroup: 3.1% Goldman Sachs: 3.2% Bank of America: 3.2% Morgan Stanley: 3.5% Previous: 3.3% Median: 3.1% Source: TrendSpider
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