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Japanese yen weakened past 158 per dollar.
Japan’s current account unexpectedly swung to a ¥923B deficit in June, its first since January 2025, versus expectations for a ¥1.512T surplus. Yen is currently the weakest G-10 currency in August as the effect of the joint US-Japan intervention fades. Bank of Japan also flagged rising inflation risks in its July summary of opinions, with one board member saying rate hikes could come faster. Source: Bull Theory
The most profitable period in the modern history of the mining industry?
Source: Tavi Costa
Japan's yentervention last week was the 2nd largest in history ($85BN) second only to Fukushima
Source: zerohedge
AI TOKEN COSTS ARE DOWN 40% FROM THEIR MAY PEAK.
The main reason? Chinese AI models are dramatically cheaper. DeepSeek, Qwen and Kimi are delivering increasingly competitive performance at 10–35x lower token prices than many U.S. alternatives — and already account for as much as 46% of usage in some enterprise segments. The pressure is spreading. OpenAI, Google and Anthropic have responded by cutting prices by as much as 80%. This creates an interesting dynamic: Cheaper inference → more AI adoption → more token consumption → more demand for compute. But at the same time, it is compressing margins and commoditizing the intelligence layer. The likely long-term winners could therefore be the hyperscalers and infrastructure providers: even if the price per token collapses, exploding volumes can more than compensate. AI intelligence may become a commodity. AI compute may not. And markets still seem far from fully pricing that shift. Source: Austral Research, zerohedge
TRADERS ARE BETTING AGAINST THE YEN AT THE SECOND HIGHEST LEVEL EVER RECORDED
And this is happening just days after Japan and the US spent an estimated $88 billion trying to stop the yen from falling. Combined net short positions from asset managers and leveraged funds hit -205,000 contracts as of July 28, just short of the 2024 record. Hedge funds alone are the most bearish since 2007. The intervention happened, and traders went right back to shorting. Source: Bloomberg, Bull Theory
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