Syz the moment

A $100 billion (goods) surplus in March, a $275 billion goods surplus for q1 (up from $185 billion last year) and a surplus of nearly $1.1 trillion over the last 4 quarters... The easy explanation is tariff front running. But it seems "too easy" as an explanation. China's exports to the US and the EU look identical -- and there is no "reciprocal" tariff threat out of the EU. Same story with emerging markets: more exports and fewer imports. Source: Brad Setser @Brad_Setser on X

Source: Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT @MikeZaccardi

It’s also drafting new regulations to block these materials from reaching American companies Source: Stocktwits

Source: @AesPolitics1

“Right now we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession,” Dalio said on NBC News “And I’m worried about something worse than a recession if this isn’t handled well”

Source: Michel A.Arouet, Bloomberg

Givaudan (GIVN SW) showed a positive reaction last week, rebounding strongly and closing the week above major support at 3536. The stock rebounded sharply from the demand zone between 3287-3468, and has consolidated 26% since the September 2024 high. It’s also at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. These technical levels aligning suggest a significant moment for the stock.Source: Bloomberg

The US has 902 billionaires in 2025, holding the crown as the planet’s top luxury zip code for the super-rich. But China (yes, including Hong Kong and Macau) isn’t exactly playing small—it’s up to 516 and catching up fast. India’s creeping in with 205, while the rest of the billionaire club is scattered across Europe, Russia, and a few surprise players like Brazil and Canada, each with 56. Moral of the story? The money’s global—but it mostly speaks English and Mandarin. Source: Statista thru Mario Nawfal