BREAKING: The US budget deficit hit a massive $711 BILLION for the first 3 months of Fiscal Year 2025.
This is ~$200 billion, or 39%, higher than in the same period last year. The deficit reached $2.0 TRILLION for the full calendar year 2024, up $248 billion YoY. Also, deficit spending rose from 6.4% to 6.9% GDP in 2024. Such a high percentage has never been seen outside of wars or major economic crises. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
China is, by far, the largest exporter.
Source: Jason Smith @ShangguanJiewen on X
Over a third of the S&P 500 is now concentrated in the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, up from a fifth of the index two years ago.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Will we see a short-covering rally in bonds?
In case you missed it: - $TLT short interest is near RECORD highs, while... - TLT has seen massive outflows Bond market shorts are about to get squeezed. A rally in bonds could be bullish for stocks. Source: Subu Trade
Prosus Back on Key Level
Prosus (PRX NA) broke out of a major resistance level last September, posting a new high and reaffirming the bullish trend. The stock has consolidated 20% since the highs and is now testing the last demand zone before the breakout. Keep an eye on the price action for potential opportunities. Source: Bloomberg
Earnings do matter
Source: Investment Strategy Group, Bloomberg, S&P Global
Donald Trump's new SEC to begin overhauling the agency's crypto policies "as early as next week" 👀
Source: Reuters
Yesterday, the easing of US inflation fears sparked a huge surge higher in rate-cut expectations for 2025 (back up to 40bps from 28bps)...
Source: Bloomberg, zerohedge
