A soft landing of the US economy is our CORE scenario.
But we are well aware of the tail risk (hard landing and no landing). As a remainder, in 2007, Yellen talked about a soft landing 6 weeks before the recession began...
It's a bull market baby...
Some amazing statistics for the sp500 Q3 performance as highlighted by Grant Hawkridge on X 👉 S&P 500 closed Q3 at 5.4% 👉The average stock in Q3 was 9.2% 👉394 stocks were positive in Q3 👉109 stocks were negative in Q3 👉337 stocks outperformed the S&P 500 in Q3 These are the things you tend to see during bull markets...
September is in the books!
Source: Trend Spider
😱 The shocking chart of the day: THE FED REPO FACILITY FOR EMERGENCY LIQUIDITY HAS BEEN TAPPED FOR 2.6BN$! 😱
Is a big bank in troubles ??? Source: JustDario on X
German government has abandoned hopes of achieving any economic growth in 2024.
Officials now expect stagnation at best, down from the previously projected 0.3%. This new forecast is even below consensus of +0.1%. As a result, Germany is falling further. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
UBS raises its gold targets
Source: UBS
Global money supply is rising once again, having increased by $7.3 trillion over the past year.
That is the highest growth rate in two years. Source: Bloomberg, Tavi Costa
THE WEEK AHEAD...
👉 In the US >>> 🚨 Fed Chair Powell Speaks - Monday September ISM Manufacturing data - Tuesday JOLTs Jobs data - Tuesday ADP Nonfarm Employment data - Wednesday Initial Jobless Claims - Thursday 🚨 September Jobs Report - Friday 👉 In the rest of the world >>> 🚨 October OPEC Meeting - Wednesday In Europe, the flash CPIs will continue to come in for Germany and the Eurozone. Highlights in Asia include the Tankan survey and industrial production in Japan, as well as PMIs in China.
