This time is different…
Historically, Fed rate cuts triggered market rallies led by valuation expansion. But this time, it seems that markets front-loaded the Fed by accumulating us stocks AHEAD of the Fed decision. Bottom-line: Current market valuation is now on the high side vs. other instances in history when the Fed cut rates. This should limit the amplitude of the current bull equity Source: David Marlin
BREAKING: Oil prices surge back above $70/barrel as investors begin pricing-in potential supply disruptions in the Middle East.
We now have a port strike, rising oil prices, aggressive Fed rate cuts and a china monetary + fiscal package. Could this combination trigger a second wave of inflation?
😱 The shocking chart of the day: a 128% INTRADAY increase for a HK-listed ETF !!!
The China equities rally look unstoppable... 😱 The Hang Seng Tech Index expanded its gains to 9%, while the Hang Seng Index surged by 6%. The FTSE China A50 Index futures rose by over 8%. As shown on the chart below, the HK-listed Science and Technology Innovation Board 50 ETF, surged dramatically, with an intraday increase of 128%. In the previous trading day, it closed with a rise of over 21%. Source: CN Wire
According to Polymarket, probability of having an Israel military response against Iran by Friday is <50% as of writin
Source: Polymarket, C.Barraud
France has always missed its fiscal deficit forecasts
France has the highest tax burden in Europe, so cannot increase taxes without throttling growth. Spend is mostly pensions & local governments And with political paralysis there won’t be any structural reforms. Is a fiscal crisis looming? Source: Michel A.Arouet, Oxford Economics
HedgeFunds are buying Chinese Stocks at the fastest speed in history
Source: Barchart
geopolitical risks are not going away anytime soon...
Lockheed Martin $LMT soars to all-time high 📈 Source: Barchart
gold explained in one hashtag
Source: Wall Street Silver
