BREAKING: The CBO has raised the US government's deficit forecast for Fiscal Year 2024 from $1.5 trillion to $1.9 trillion, or 6.7% of GDP.
This would be the highest deficit since 2021 when the deficit hit $2.8 trillion in response to pandemic lockdowns. By 2034, the deficit is expected to reach $2.9 trillion or 6.9% of GDP, totaling a whopping $22.1 trillion over the 2025-2034 period. The CBO projection also assumes that net interest will reflect over 50% of the budget deficit over the next decade. These numbers all assume no recessions and lower interest rates. What happens if rate cuts are delayed and a recession hits? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, CBO
$NVDA is now down 13% since Jim Cramer said "Nvidia, so far, so good"
Source: The Kobeissi Letter
The Great Bitcoin Crash of June 2024.
Source: John Osterman
Global freight container rates still moving higher and year/year increase is now up to +233%
Source: Bloomberg, Kevin Gordon on X
And so begins the S&P 500 buyback blackout period . . .
Source: Markets & Mayhem
What a legend...
#humor
Nvidia FOMO ? This is interesting:
~90% of Wall Street analysts have now a buy rating on NVIDIA, up from ~30% a decade ago. This comes after the chipmaker's share prices have skyrocketed 27,989% over the last 10 years. As the stock rally intensified, the number of buy ratings rapidly increased. Wall Street has never been more bullish of $NVDA. While fundamentals are strong, there is indeed a risk of short-term pullback. A buying opportunity? Or just the start of something more severe? Source chart: Alpine Macro
Lumber prices continue to sink amid a soft US housing market
Source: The Daily Shot
