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Major divergence spotted:
The VIX has been trending higher since mid-May. But even the SP500 has been moving higher. This is an anomaly. Source: Game of Trades
Amazon enters elite $2tn club as AI optimism fuels rally.
Amazon up ~27% this year, driven by improving growth trends as AI re-accelerates its cloud-computing business. The milestone puts Amazon into an exclusive club of comps worth $2tn or more: Alphabet crossed the level in April, while Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple are all worth north of $3tn. (via BBG)
The Fed has been shrinking its balance sheet at the fastest pace ever:
Since April 2022, the Federal Reserve has reduced its balance sheet by $1.71 trillion to $7.25 trillion, a 19% decline. By comparison, from 2017 to 2019 the Fed’s balance sheet runoff amounted to 16%. However, the Fed's balance sheet still stands $3.1 TRILLION above pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, the Fed slowed the pace of runoff from $95 billion to $60 billion a month at the beginning of June. Will the Fed's balance sheet ever reach pre-pandemic levels?
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