Syz the moment

How it started... and how it is going

➡️ Global M2 proxy flat again this week, still supportive for equities and bitcoin over the short-term ➡️ The S&P500 has been “catching up” our global M2 proxy. Our Global M2 proxy continues to point to supportive liquidity dynamics for risk assets in the weeks ahead. ➡️ The link between our Global M2 proxy and the Bitcoin continues to hold remarkably well and to point to more upside potential for the BTC. NB: These are NOT investment recommendations. A broad range of factors need to be taken into account before taking any investment decisions

According to CryptoQuant CEO and market analyst Ki Young Ju. 🟩 “Their 555,000 BTC is illiquid with no plans to sell,” the analyst wrote in a May 10 X post. 🟩“Strategy's holdings alone mean a -2.23% annual deflation rate — likely higher with other stable institutional holders,” Ju continued. 🟩Additionally, Strategy acts as a bridge between Bitcoin and traditional financial (TradFi) markets by funneling funds from TradFi investors into Bitcoin through selling corporate debt and equity, which the company uses to finance more BTC purchases. According to Michael Saylor, over 13,000 institutions hold Strategy stock directly in their portfolios. ➡️ Bitcoin investors continue to watch the company and its effect on Bitcoin market dynamics. Strategy leads the charge toward institutional adoption of Bitcoin, further restricting the supply of available coins and raising BTC prices, while dampening volatility. Source: zerohedge, cryptoquant, cointelegraph.com

▶️ Bitcoin is up 25% from its April 9th low and there’s a handful of indicators that show a major bull market around the corner. Starting with the Average Miner Cost of Production. ▶️ In a rational economy, assets rarely trade below their cost of production. Now, what it costs to “mine” a Bitcoin is different for every miner – machine type, electricity cost, and uptime all play a role — but the analysts @BlockwareTeam have aggregated data to create a metric called the “industry average”. ▶️ This metric has timed each of the past 6 Bitcoin bottoms: September 2024 November 2022 September 2020 March 2020 December 2018 April 2016 ▶️ This metric is signaling a bottom right now.

Source: Bitcoin Magazine

The initiative mirrors Strategy's Bitcoin plan, with contributions from Tether ($1.5 billion), SoftBank ($900 million), and Bitfinex ($600 million). Brandon Lutnick, current chair and CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald and son of former CEO Howard Lutnick, is at the helm of this venture. The initiative will utilize funds from Cantor Equity Partners, a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) that raised $200 million earlier this year. The investment contributions to 21 Capital are substantial, with Tether expected to provide $1.5 billion in Bitcoin. SoftBank will contribute $900 million, while Bitfinex plans to supply $600 million worth of the crypto. This collaboration aims to mirror the investment approach pioneered by Michael Saylor's Strategy, which has seen significant success in the Bitcoin market🔥 The report highlights that the Bitcoin holdings from these companies will eventually be converted into shares of 21 Capital, valued at $10 per share, suggesting a valuation of $85,000 per Bitcoin. Additionally, Cantor's vehicle plans to raise $350 million through a convertible bond and an additional $200 million via private equity placements for further Bitcoin acquisitions. The Financial Times notes that an official announcement regarding this venture is expected in the coming weeks, although details may still be subject to changes or cancellation. Source: The Bitcoin Historian @pete_rizzo_

Yet compared to global assets, it’s barely a blip: 🏠Real Estate: $635T 📉Debt: $141T 📊Equity: $125T 🥇Gold: $23T ₿ Bitcoin: $2T Source: Priced in ₿itcoin ∞/21M @PricedinBTC on X

M2 proxy vs BTC continues to hold. Could the surge in Global M2 push $BTC to new highs?