Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

17 Jul 2023

This didn't do the headlines but the fact is that Trade-weighted Euro reached a new all-time high this week

Source: Bloomberg

14 Jul 2023

The NASDAQ (in yellow) has been massively decoupling from the FED balance sheet (in purple)

Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv

14 Jul 2023

The sp500 is now 3% above the level it was at when The Fed first hiked #rates in March 2022...

The #sp500 is now 3% above the level it was at when The #Fed first hiked #rates in March 2022...

13 Jul 2023

The probability of a July 26 rate of 25 basis points to 5.25% to 5.50% barely moved

Despite the better-than-expected CPI report today, the probability of a July 26 rate of 25 basis points to 5.25% to 5.50% barely moved. The market is strongly expecting a hike in two weeks. Source: Jim Bianco

12 Jul 2023

ECB Balance Sheet

ECB QT continues w/balance sheet shrank by another €12.8bn to €7,207bn, lowest since Mar2021. ECB's total assets now equal to 53% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 31%, SNB's 121%, and BOJ's 128%. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

22 Jun 2023

SNB Dials Down Interest-Rate Hiking With Quarter-Point Move

The Swiss National Bank delivered the smallest interest-rate hike since it began monetary tightening a year ago while signaling it may act again to tame inflation.
Policymakers led by President Thomas Jordan lifted the key rate by a quarter-point to 1.75%, matching forecasts by most economists surveyed by Bloomberg.
The step is aimed at “countering inflationary pressure, which has increased again,” Jordan said in Zurich. “It cannot be ruled out that additional rises in the SNB policy rate will be necessary to ensure price stability over the medium term.”

Source: Bloomberg

22 Jun 2023

SNB won’t let slowing inflation stop a rate hike

Source: Bloomberg

20 Jun 2023

China's central bank cuts the banks' 1-Y and 5-Y Loan Prime Rate #LPR by 10 bps for the first time since August

The People’s Bank of China cut two more key lending rates on Tuesday for the first time in 10 months to prop up growth in the world’s second largest economy. The Chinese central bank cut the one-year loan prime rate by 10 basis points from 3.65% to 3.55%, and trimmed the five-year loan prime rate by 10 basis points from 4.3% to 4.2% — for the first time since August. Source: CNBC

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks