The short-term holder supply in profit/loss ratio is the lowest it’s ever been in the history of bitcoin.
Indeed, 95% of bitcoin $BTC held by short-term holders, those who bought less than 155 days ago, is underwater. Even with two 30% drawdowns this cycle, the speed and severity of the current drawdown have made it much more severe. Source: Joe Consorti, Frank @FrankAFetter
Fitch Upgrades Greece to BBB, Outlook Stable
Source: Source: Christophe Barraud @C_Barraud Bloomberg
Will Bitcoin bounce soon?
Bitcoin's sentiment is at the LOWEST level in over a year. The last 4 times this happened, Bitcoin bounced immediately. $BTC Source: Subu Trade
Long-term holders are selling hard.
~815K BTC sold in the past 30 days, the highest level since Jan 2024. With demand contracting, this sell-side pressure is weighing on the price Source: cryptoquant
Bitcoin's 50-day moving average is a few days from crossing below the 200-day moving average.
Each cross marked a local bottom: • September '23 • September '24 • April '25 If BTC is still in a bull market, the local bottom is forming. Holding $100,000 remains crucial. Source: Joe Consorti, Bloomberg
While everyone’s watching bitcoin… stablecoins quietly crossed $311 BILLION in circulation — processing more payments than Visa this year.
And nobody’s talking about it. Tether & Circle now hold $200B+ in U.S. Treasuries, earning $15B/year in interest — while moving $10 TRILLION across a system Wall Street can’t even see. Every stablecoin = a Treasury bond purchased. Every transaction = U.S. dollar dominance extended. Latin America runs on USD stables. The Middle East moves crisis liquidity through them. Corporates slash cross-border costs 70% — no banks, no permission, no friction. Welcome to the Eurodollar 2.0 era: faster, traceable, and Congress-approved. 📊 The numbers don’t lie: $1.5T Treasury demand by 2027 $50B+ in annual U.S. debt savings 55% growth in ten months 1-second settlement Meanwhile… China’s digital yuan? still not there. Where could we be heading by 2028? 💵 $2T in circulation? 🌍 25% of global remittances? 🏦 Trillions in tokenized assets? 🔗 A fully re-plumbed global financial system? The U.S. Dollar went digital — and didn’t even ask permission. Source: Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ @shanaka86 on X
Bitcoin has gone down more than 20% SEVEN times this cycle
Source: Bitcoin magazine
S&P Global: "we are likely to continue to view capital as a weakness, because Strategy's bitcoin holdings are likely to grow materially"
So basically "the more Bitcoin they buy, the weaker their capital becomes.” If Strategy held U.S. Treasuries, S&P would call it “high-quality capital.” But if Strategy holds bitcoin, they mark it as negative equity. Incredible Source: @AdamBLiv
