Strong earnings with multiple contraction. That’s 2026 in a nutshell.
Source: @mattcerminaro Daily Chartbook
NVIDIA posted its best quarter ever
$68.1B revenue (+73% YoY) and Q1 guidance of ~$78B—but the stock fell, erasing post-earnings gains. CFO Colette Kress flagged potential long-term AI disruption from Chinese chipmakers. China exposure remains limited, with zero H200 chip sales and tariffs on U.S.-licensed shipments. The market reaction shows that when expectations are extremely high, even record results may disappoint. Source: Global Markets Investor, Bloomberg
As far as the standout global earnings story is concerned, it's Korea... and then it's everybody else.
Source: David Ingles @DavidInglesTV
THE MASTER EARNINGS SEASON CALENDAR
Here are the most popular stocks that report earnings this week February 9th - February 13th. Source: Earnings Hub
Goldman notes that after a few quarters of uninspiring market that follows positive earnings release, beats are finally being rewarded.
Companies beating consensus EPS estimates have outperformed on the day after reporting by +207 bp on average, more than double the historical average of +98 bp.
📢 Apple reported fiscal first-quarter earnings on Thursday that surpassed expectations, with revenue soaring 16% on an annual basis.
📌 The company reported $42.1 billion in net income, or $2.84 per share, versus $36.33 billion, or $2.40 per share, in the year-ago period. 🚀 Apple saw particularly strong results in China, including Taiwan and Hong Kong. Sales in the region surged 38% during the quarter to $25.53 billion. Apple quarterly results by App Economy Insights $AAPL Apple Q1 FY26 (Dec. quarter): 📱 Products +16% Y/Y to $113.7B. 💳 Services +14% Y/Y to $30.0B. • Revenue +16% Y/Y to $143.8B ($5.2B beat). • Operating margin 35% (+1pp Y/Y). • EPS $2.84 ($0.17 beat).
At the high end of its capex forecast ($135BN), META free cash flow in 2026 will be $0
Source: zerohedge
Microsoft and Meta quarterly CAPEX -realised and projected
These aren’t the old MSFT and META... Source: Bloomberg, RBC
