Apple’s 40-day correlation to the Nasdaq 100 Index tumbled to 0.21 last week, the lowest since 2006, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Its correlation with the benchmark has been on the decline since May, when it reached 0.92, as Apple’s decision to mostly sit out the AI arms race has turned it into an outlier compared with many of its rivals. Source: zerohedge
Crazy market stat: The S&P 500 is flat YTD, but there are just 94 stocks in the index up or down less than 5% YTD while there are 117 stocks up or down more than 20% YTD.
Source: Bespoke
One equity market tailwind is coming back...
Roughly 80% of corporates are out of the buyback blackout period Source: Bloomberg
Fascinating study from Bloomberg: S&P Equal Weight outperformance was extremely rare historically:
1999-2002 Dotcom 2009 Post GFC 2020-2021 Covid “Those cases accompanied major shifts in the market.” “Equal-weight S&P managed to maintain some outperformance 250 days later.” “The big question: whether this is the start of an extended period of sharp moves around AI disruptors, and the disrupted.” Source: Macrocharts, Bloomberg
Make or break in NASDAQ
NASDAQ futures are now pressing the lower end of the range. We’re well below the 100-day, with the 200-day sitting just beneath, making ~24,500 in futures the clear make-or-break level. Source: LSEG Workspace TME
Fascinating chart from Goldman Sachs showing how stocks of newspaper companies started to move downward before their earnings took a hit.
Make or break in NASDAQ
Equity Put/Call Ratio jumps to highest level this year and one of the highest levels since June
Source: Barchart
Apple thinks differently
Source: A16Z
